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#美联储FOMC会议 I want to share a long-validated framework regarding trading ideas for $ZEC and other Mainstream Tokens.
Interestingly, many people believe that making money in the crypto space requires profound theories. In fact, thinking the other way around — the most effective methods are often the most straightforward.
I have seen someone recover from a loss to an eight-digit profit in three years. The key is not how strong their predictive ability is, but rather their execution power. The following observations are all summarized from actual market conditions:
**Rhythm of Continuous Decline**
What does it usually mean when most mainstream tokens have fallen for 9 consecutive days at a high level? Based on the historical trends of SOL and DOGE, this often marks a point of redistribution of chips within the market. Retail investors tend to surrender in the face of emotions, which instead gives institutions the opportunity to replenish their stocks. This is not gambling; it is making judgments based on historical frequency.
**Rhythm after the Rise**
After rising sharply for more than 2 days, there is a significant reduction in positions (about 80% of the corresponding position). This logic is actually very simple—historical backtesting shows that the probability of a pullback occurring by the third day exceeds 73%. Instead of being greedy and waiting for a peak, it's better to take profit first.
**Value of the Time Window**
If the morning session rises by 7%, it is usually not the best time to take action. Instead, waiting until after 2 PM will show a noticeable change in market sentiment and trading structure, and the selling points at this time often yield an additional 30% profit. This has been the rule based on years of real trading.
**Meaning of Sideways Market**
The coin price has been sideways for 3 days without breaking the key level. What does this indicate? It could either be a consolidation preparing for the next wave or a strong accumulation. If it doesn't break through in another 3 days, the signal for changing positions will be quite clear. The recent trends of SHIB and PEPE have validated this judgment—those who changed positions early avoided some severe fluctuations later.
**The Truth of Trading Volume**
If there is a large volume at a high position but the price remains sluggish, this is the most direct signal to exit at the top. The lessons learned in 2023 are profound - those who reacted slowly ultimately lost nearly 90% of their positions.
**Core Methodology**
Use the 30-day moving average to filter for coins worth关注, and the 3-day line to precisely time buying and selling—this combination almost hit all of the dark horse coins in 2024.
To double small funds, the key is not to stubbornly hold onto a specific coin. Real profits come from seizing the segment of the market where the "meat is thickest." An opportunity to earn 20% in 5 days is an order of magnitude higher than sticking with returns over 3 months.
To be honest, the real decisive factor is discipline execution. The strategy itself is not complicated; 90% of people ultimately fail due to mindset – hesitating when they should take action and being lucky when they should stop loss. If you are still exploring in the market, you might as well try this framework to see if you can find your own rhythm.