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Evening Script Scenario: Today's Possible Trend "Fake Rise and Pullback"
Phase 1: Afternoon to Evening (Current to 20:00) — Inducing More with Sideways Movement The price will oscillate continuously between $93,800 and $94,400, and there may be one or two fake breakouts above $94,500, giving the illusion that "it still wants to push to 100,000," enticing bulls to enter the last position before the US market opens.
Phase 2: Early US Market (21:30 - 23:30) — Loss of Momentum If tonight's US stock market opens and ETF inflow data does not show explosive growth, the previously accumulated profit-taking will collectively close positions.
Phase 3: Late Night to Early Morning (After 00:00) — Deep Pullback and Shakeout This is the most critical part. The main force will use the period of weaker liquidity to quickly break below the psychological barrier of $93,000, pulling back to the $91,800 - $92,200 range. The only goal: clear out high-leverage longs and pave the way for a real rebound tomorrow.
Regarding the position at 9w45 and 3260, a breakout must be accompanied by volume! Otherwise, it is very likely to induce a fake breakout with a short squeeze.
In other words, if volume breaks through, Bitcoin could move to the next zone, touching 9w8, and possibly directly reaching 3400.
Currently, the sideways movement around 3220 during the day is likely a setup.
Reminder to pay attention to risks.