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If ETF capital continues to flow in and order book liquidity remains sufficient, Bitcoin is expected to break through $125,000 before April. The sharp sell-off in December essentially represents a leverage reset cycle in the market—repricing of ETF risk, concentrated liquidation of leveraged positions, improvement in the order book liquidity environment, and the concentrated clearing of options positions. These factors together form a bottom filtering mechanism. Looking ahead, under the assumption of liquidity support, Bitcoin will enter a new bull cycle, with the target range locked between $105,000 and $125,000 for a banded rebound.