#比特币价格趋势 Seeing the analysis on Bitcoin volatility, I am reminded of the anxiety many friends have been feeling lately. Not witnessing the expected surge at the end of the year can be disappointing, but from another perspective, this relative stability might actually be building up energy for long-term holders.



A detail Pompliano mentioned that I particularly agree with is — the compression of volatility is often overlooked. Everyone is focused on price fluctuations but fails to notice that market sentiment is gradually stabilizing. The compound growth of doubling in two years and nearly 300% increase over three years reflects how many rounds of panic and greed have been endured behind the scenes. If we extend the timeline to five or ten years, short-term fluctuations are simply insignificant.

Honestly, the likelihood of Bitcoin experiencing a significant drop in Q1 next year is quite low. This judgment doesn’t mean the market will be smooth sailing, but it does serve as a reminder that market risks are gradually being released. For investors who manage their positions well and maintain a long-term mindset, this environment is actually relatively favorable.

Instead of obsessing over short-term prices, ask yourself: Is your asset allocation sufficiently diversified? Is your holding ratio within a tolerable range? These are the key factors that determine your ultimate returns. Steady investing is fundamentally about slowly revealing its value through the power of time’s compound growth.
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