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Polymarket traders who earned over $100,000 last week reveal their strategies
A real trader’s six-month review data has been exposed, and this guy is definitely not a bot.
**Key Highlights:**
A total of 23,587 predictions, with a profit of $3.6M. Currently, there are still $1.7M in open positions. It sounds crazy, but the win rate is actually less than 60%—this detail is very important.
**Trading Characteristics:**
This trader mainly focuses on football market predictions, with each bet ranging from $5,000 to $100,000. The wide range indicates he adjusts his position sizes flexibly based on market conditions. There’s no secret high-end strategy; it’s achieved through long-term accumulation and daily observation.
**Underlying Logic:**
Six months of daily work is truly impressive, requiring attention to numerous match information, market liquidity, and odds fluctuations. Although the win rate doesn’t exceed 60%, because each bet is large and frequent, the overall mathematical expectation becomes extremely positive. This is why in prediction markets, consistent execution often matters more than the win rate itself.
This case also illustrates the real profit potential on platforms like Polymarket—opportunities do exist for patient traders who do their homework.