January 11, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

The current price has broken below and closed under the critical bullish support line, shifting the short-term structure from bullish to bearish. Focus on "rebound resistance level shorting" and "key support level battles."
Bull-bear dividing line: 90,450.7 USDT (already broken, now transformed into a core resistance level; if the price rebounds to this level without breaking through, the downtrend will continue).

Upper resistance levels (shorting zones):
P3: 92,000.0 (key psychological threshold)
P2: 91,600.0 (upper boundary of previous consolidation zone)
P1: 90,450.7 (core shorting zone, confirmation of resistance on rebound)

Lower support levels (target/try-long zones):
S1: 87,717.9 (recent previous low and platform support, primary target and potential battleground)
S2: 86,244.8 (lower boundary of previous major range, strong support)
S3: 85,220.2 (previous low area; breaking below opens a deeper decline space)

Probability Trading Discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points; orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100~150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 1200 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should manually reduce position by 50%-75% after partial profit to protect capital).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short setups).
4. If daily cumulative loss reaches 10% of capital, forcibly shut down for rest.

Core Trading Logic:
• From a long-term perspective, the market remains in a large-range oscillation with high volatility risk. The weekly candle closed bearish, indicating that long-term upward momentum is hindered at key levels, entering a correction cycle.
• From a medium-term perspective, after peaking at 94,741.5, the price has been continuously retracing, and yesterday’s candlestick closed below the key support of 90,450.7. This is an important breakdown signal, suggesting that the daily uptrend starting from 86,244.8 may be temporarily halted, with the structure shifting to oscillation with a bearish bias or deep correction.
• From a short-term perspective, the current price has broken below the upward trendline and previous consolidation platform. 90,450.7 has shifted from support to strong resistance. The current structure is a downward driving wave, seeking support below.

Probability Trading Conclusion:
The market has issued a clear breakdown signal. Main strategy: wait for the price to rebound to the key resistance level P1(90,450.7) to initiate short positions, riding the trend. Secondary strategy: if the price drops sharply to the strong support S1(87,717.9), consider light long positions to play the rebound, strictly avoid bottom-fishing at intermediate prices. All operations must include stop-loss, abandoning cleverness, and setting fixed risk. Use a consistent 1:1 profit-loss ratio, allowing market inertia to pay rewards. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

Disclaimer: This content is compiled from public market analysis and historical data, intended for informational reference only, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; any investment decision should be based on independent research.