Bitcoin could surge to $53 million by 2050, says VanEck; see the reason

Source: PortaldoBitcoin Original Title: Bitcoin could surge to US$ 53 million by 2050, says VanEck; see the reason Original Link: https://portaldobitcoin.uol.com.br/bitcoin-pode-disparar-para-us-53-milhoes-ate-2050-diz-vaneck-veja-o-motivo/ The global asset manager VanEck stated this week that the price of Bitcoin could reach an impressive US$ 53.4 million by 2050, according to its latest long-term capital market outlook for the asset.

This astronomical forecast represents the company’s optimistic scenario, which considers a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% for Bitcoin over the next 25 years.

In the report, what the company calls “hyperbitcoinization”, the leading cryptocurrency would come to represent a significant portion of domestic and international transactions settled.

In a “hyperbitcoinization” scenario, where Bitcoin captures 20% of international trade and 10% of domestic GDP, the implied value per coin could reach US$ 53.4 million, according to analysis by Matthew Sigel and Patrick Bush.

This scenario requires Bitcoin to reach parity or even surpass gold as the primary global reserve asset, accounting for nearly 30% of worldwide financial assets.

It is worth noting that this is the company’s most optimistic forecast. Even in VanEck’s baseline scenario, the expectation is for a considerable rise in Bitcoin: the projection is a CAGR of 15%, taking the BTC price to US$ 2.9 million by 2050.

In this scenario, VanEck predicts that BTC will account for 5% to 10% of global trade and 5% of domestic exchanges. Additionally, it believes that central banks will have allocated up to 2.5% of their balance sheets in Bitcoin as a form of protection.

With Bitcoin trading at US$ 90,689 this Saturday (10), the value is still about 3,100% below the baseline scenario projected by the company for 2050. To reach the most optimistic scenario, Bitcoin would need to jump more than 59,000%.

On the other hand, the current price is only 43% below the company’s pessimistic scenario for 2050, which considers a CAGR of just 2% and projects BTC at US$ 130,000 — just 3% above the most recent all-time high of US$ 126,080, recorded last October.

The company’s assessments for 2050 have been slightly adjusted upward since they were presented in 2024. At that time, the optimistic scenario was US$ 52.3 million per BTC, while the baseline and pessimistic scenarios remained virtually unchanged.