ETH January 12th Live Trading "Do/Don't" Rules

Core Anchor Point: 3100 is the only boundary between bullish and bearish; break below and exit immediately, no hesitation

1. Going Long: Only take 2 signals, observe if conditions are not met

Signal Conditions Entry Point Stop Loss Position Take Profit Pace Position Limit
1. Retrace near 3100, 15-minute K-line closes bullish with volume 3095-3100 Partial entries 3050 (if breaks below 3075, exit immediately) 3160 Reduce position by 50% → 3200 Fully close remaining ≤30%
2. Volume breakout above 3160, retrace to 3150 without falling below 3150 3150-3160 Light position chase 3120 (40 points below entry price, fixed stop loss) 3200 Take profit directly ≤15%

Situations to avoid:

- Sideways movement around 3100 with no volume, hesitant without rising or falling → Observe
- Rebound after breaking below 3100, then fall back again → Do not engage

2. Going Short: Only take 1 signal, abandon if not met

Signal Conditions Entry Point Stop Loss Position Take Profit Pace Position Limit
3200-3260 Encounter resistance, 15-minute K-line closes bearish with volume (top divergence is better) 3210-3230 Partial entries 3300 (break above 3260 and stabilize, then exit immediately) 3160 Reduce position by 50% → 3100 Fully close remaining ≤20%

Situations to avoid:

- Fluctuation below 3200, retreating before reaching resistance → Observe
- Break above 3260, then retrace and quickly rally again → Do not engage

3. Iron Law: Regardless of bullish or bearish, execute when triggered

1. Single trade stop loss ≤ 2% of total funds; prefer less profit over risking a large loss
2. Before and after US stock market open (21:30), regardless of profit or loss, reduce position by 50% to avoid volatility spikes
3. If no signals are triggered on the day → Stay in cash, do not impulsively open trades