Gate Strategy Robot Weekly Report: High-Range Battle under Message Dominance and Data Repricing

This week’s market is in a phase of “news-driven + data re-pricing” overlay: the Iran situation brings external uncertainty, and overall trading over the weekend remained cautious. Mainstream coins maintained their recovery, but breakthroughs depend more on the resonance of news and data. Currently, BTC stays above 90,000, and ETH has returned above 3,100, with short-term structure resembling repeated movements within a high-level range; meanwhile, derivatives show signs of deleveraging (OI contraction, increased active selling pressure), coupled with discussions about capital flow back to exchanges, indicating a higher likelihood of a “data landing—volatility expansion—return to range” structural market this week. Pay close attention to the impact of the U.S. inflation and consumer data releases from 1/14 to 1/16 on interest rate expectations.

Last week (01/05–01/11) market performance

The dominant variables in the crypto market last week came from two lines: first, geopolitical uncertainty increased but had not substantially escalated, leading to relative restraint over the weekend, with BTC repeatedly hovering around 90,000 but lacking momentum; second, the derivatives structure “cooled down,” with short-term funds more inclined to reduce positions and lower risk exposure rather than leverage up for a one-sided trend.

From a structural signal perspective, exchange sample data shows that the 7-day change rate of BTC contract OI quickly fell from +9% to -2%, while CVD continued to decline, indicating an increase in active sell orders (taker sells), with deleveraging and selling pressure occurring simultaneously. Regarding capital flow, large inflows into exchanges (30-day rolling) showed signs of increase (roughly $3 billion to $3.6 billion), a combination of “supply returning + leverage shrinking” that typically makes prices more prone to repeated digestion near key resistance levels rather than smooth one-way advances.

Overall, last week was a typical “structural week” rather than a “trend week”: the market was more driven by news and position structure, with short-term volatility resulting from the superposition of unexpected news and leverage unwinding.

1｜Market environment overview

BTC remains high above 90,000 with oscillations mainly characterized by “testing upper boundary—quick retracement,” with breakthroughs more dependent on event catalysts and incremental trading volume; if sustained buying does not persist, repeated digestion within the range will remain the main pattern.

ETH has returned to the 3,100–3,200 range, playing a role more of “catch-up + ecosystem-driven,” but net inflows on exchanges are relatively strong, making the 3,200–3,300 range more prone to repeated digestion and supply sensitivity. The upward continuation depends on subsequent incremental narratives and capital absorption.

SOL, under high-beta capital rotation, acts more like a “flexible support zone”: when BTC/ETH enters high-level oscillation, capital more easily switches between strength and weakness on SOL, with the chart showing rapid “rally—retracement—rally” movements, short-term elasticity is high but retracements are also sharper.

Derivatives Last week showed a typical “position contraction + volatility amplified by events” state: when prices enter high zones, the importance of directional judgment diminishes, and the market is more influenced by news, liquidity, and position structure, forming rapid surges and pullbacks with repeated shakeouts.

2｜Gate Ultra AI strategy operation features

3｜This week’s hot new coin radar

New coin names

Brevis (BREV)

Laozi (LAOZI)

4｜Suggested capital allocation and risk control

5｜Important events this week

Risk warning

Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. This content is for market information and strategy observation only and does not constitute any investment advice.