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Since the beginning of 2026, the policy disagreements between the White House and the Federal Reserve have intensified, triggering fierce fluctuations in the global financial markets. This is not only a policy dispute between power institutions but also a deep game concerning the credibility of the US dollar.
The White House continues to pressure the central bank's decisions: rumors of judicial investigations involving the Federal Reserve have caused alarm, public opinion is pushing for a low-interest-rate cycle, and there are even plans to introduce disruptive housing finance stimulus schemes. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains steadfast, repeatedly emphasizing the sanctity of the central bank's independence, but signs of internal policy tilt are beginning to emerge.
This standoff has rippled through global markets. The US dollar index experienced its steepest single-day decline in a decade; the Bank of Japan unusually sold off a large amount of US Treasuries (worth $20 billion); panic funds accelerated flows into safe-haven assets, with London spot gold temporarily surpassing $4,600; Asian stock markets rose against the trend, and top global asset managers like BlackRock began reducing their holdings of US Treasuries. The European Central Bank issued warnings—US dollar dominance faces a substantial challenge.
History always repeats itself astonishingly. Fifty years ago, Nixon's intervention in the independence of the central bank ultimately triggered long-term stagflation in the US. Today, if monetary policy is manipulated for political goals amid already weakening economic fundamentals (disappointing non-farm payrolls, rising unemployment), this gamble could ignite even greater financial risks.
The apparent battle over interest rates is fundamentally a life-and-death gamble over the credibility of the US dollar. As global capital accelerates diversification of foreign exchange reserves, does this signal the end of an era? Share your thoughts in the comments—how will the US dollar system evolve, and who will be the next major global reserve asset?