#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 Morning $BTC Trend Observation

The market faces obvious resistance at high levels, and the energy decay rate is quite rapid. The bullish momentum is gradually dissipating, and the market balance is tilting towards the bears.

From the 4-hour chart, the price is stuck around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, testing multiple times without a successful breakout. Trading volume continues to shrink, indicating a clear lack of buying strength. Although the MACD remains above the zero line, the red histogram is gradually thinning, and both the KDJ and RSI are beginning to turn downward. All these signals point to the same conclusion: the probability of a short-term pullback is higher.

In this rhythm, blindly bullish positions are easily met with setbacks. Instead of going against the trend, it’s better to follow the trend downward, which makes the risk more controllable.

Reference suggestions:
$BTC: Short between 92,000 and 91,500, target around 90,000
$ETH: Short between 3,150 and 3,120, targets at 3,100 and 3,050

Pay attention to macro changes following the recent US CPI data release.