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Recently, a very interesting phenomenon has been observed—gold is falling while Bitcoin is rising. This "black and white" contrasting market situation is actually a rare signal in the crypto world.
According to data from January 14th, the 52-week correlation between Bitcoin and gold has completely dropped to zero. This is the first time since 2022 that such a situation has occurred, and based on current trends, it is very likely to turn negative by the end of the month. It may sound a bit abstract, but in the historical patterns of the crypto market, what does this mean? Simply put—whenever Bitcoin starts to "break away" from gold and act independently, it often signals an imminent sharp rise.
Looking at historical data: such divergence has occurred before, with an average increase of 56%. Following this logic, Bitcoin could potentially surge to the $144,000 to $150,000 range in the next two months. It sounds a bit bold, but it’s not just wishful thinking.
Why am I so confident? There’s a macroeconomic backing. Global M2 money supply is accelerating, and the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reduction cycle is also nearing its end. Some research institutions have openly stated that a new round of global money printing has already begun, and this trend could last until 2026.
Those familiar with the 2020 bull market will notice that the current pace is almost identical to back then. It was also a breakout from a sideways phase, followed by a rapid surge. Now, Bitcoin is just hitting the accelerator—more money is flowing, market liquidity is abundant, and it’s just a matter of how it will unfold this time. Will history repeat itself? The market will provide the answer.