#数字资产市场动态 Let's talk about the current $BTC situation. In the short term, the key level at 90,000 is very important—if it breaks down, there's a high probability that it will continue to decline towards the 70,000 range before finding significant support. Conversely, if it holds, the possibility of continued sideways movement and upward trend increases.



Interestingly, many institutions and influential figures are now focusing on certain specific technical patterns, all optimistic about similar trends. But there's an old rule: when consensus is extremely unified, the probability of a reverse move is often higher. Why? Because the market is constantly moving beyond expectations.

My consistent view remains the same—no crazy bull market, no deep bear. The sharp decline in 2022 was mainly due to the extreme rally in 2021. Cycles are always symmetrical; the more frantic one end is, the more intense the other end can be. Whether the current market is brewing the next crazy bull run or correcting the previous bubble will determine the depth of the next move.
BTC-1.29%
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ser_aped.ethvip
· 6h ago
It's hard to say whether breaking 90,000 is really a big deal, but the fact that big V influencers are optimistic actually makes me a bit anxious. --- Everyone is watching the 90,000 level, which means retail investors have been pretty much educated. --- A strong bull run must be preceded by a deep bear market. Is this correction or brewing? I bet it's brewing. --- Consensus is to go against the trend—that's the truth... Things that are optimistic tend to be the first to collapse. --- The misery of 2022 is proportional to the madness of 2021. What about now? Will this cycle be the same? --- Is the 7-figure truly the bottom, or is it just an illusion?
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Ser_Liquidatedvip
· 6h ago
Whether 90,000 breaks or not is really Schrödinger's Bitcoin; in the end, someone will definitely be wiped out. If consensus is unanimous, go against the trend. This theory has been around for three years and is still metaphysical. It's better to go all-in directly. The theory of crazy bulls and bears being symmetrical is indeed misleading. That's exactly what I thought in 2022, but as a result, my wallet hit rock bottom.
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MidnightSellervip
· 6h ago
Whether the 90,000 breaks or not really depends on how the institutions play, but I bet they will operate in the opposite direction... The consensus being too uniform is indeed strange, and the probability of a reversal is extremely high. The theory of bullish and bearish symmetry is spot on; no one can predict which way this wave will go. The sharp decline in 2022 was really the debt from 2021, and it's still being paid off. I don't really trust the technical patterns mentioned by institutions; relying solely on market predictions is better than waiting for candlestick signals. The support level at the 7-figure mark is still somewhat reliable; at most, it might test lower. The more the consensus aligns, the more you should think in the opposite direction—this is the eternal game between retail investors and big players.
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Frontrunnervip
· 6h ago
Whether breaking 90,000 or not isn't really important; what's crucial is that institutions are now unanimously bullish, which means a reversal isn't far off.
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LiquidatedDreamsvip
· 6h ago
90k, will it break or not... feels like the big V's are singing in perfect harmony this time, the probability of a reverse dump is indeed quite high.
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ColdWalletAnxietyvip
· 6h ago
Whether breaking 90,000 is really a watershed or not, what I care more about is why so many people now share the same view... Hearing about reverse probabilities so often has started to scare me a little.
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