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Recently, discussions about the CLARITY Act have caused a huge stir in the entire crypto community. Public opinion is polarized, and market reactions have been very direct — the probability of passing on Polymarket has dropped from nearly 80% to around 50%.
Opinions in the crypto space are divided into two camps. One side believes "regulation is better than no regulation," while the other worries that the current version overly restricts stablecoin yields, DeFi compliance, and RWA (Real-World Asset on-chain). If legislation is written to include these, it could long-term freeze the entire industry's innovation space.
The real issue lies in the stablecoin yield clause. Traditional banking systems fear that high on-chain yields will pull a large amount of deposits away, which is the most intense opposition. Plus, there are concerns about the White House's public stance against certain major exchanges. If no consensus is reached on stablecoin yield issues, the White House might even withdraw its support for the entire bill.
The realistic assessment is that CLARITY won't die, but it has already become a stalled project. To pass smoothly, it will likely need to be reworked, with key clauses modified — making concessions on stablecoin yields, DeFi compliance flexibility, and RWA operational space. Otherwise, the bill is very likely to remain stuck in the short term.