2026-01-18 08:50:13

#Strategy加仓BTC RARE this rally may be nearing its end, as multiple warning signals have already appeared on the technical front.

Let's first look at the candlestick situation. After reaching 0.0335 on the 4-hour chart, the price was pushed back to 0.0305, leaving a long upper shadow—indicating strong selling pressure at higher levels. The daily chart is even more straightforward: after three consecutive days of gains, a doji appeared at the high, which is a classic reversal signal.

In terms of indicators, the 4-hour MACD is still in a bullish crossover, but the histogram is shrinking, and the RSI has started to retreat from the overbought zone at 75.8. The daily RSI is still at 77.9, and in an overbought state, there is a risk of sudden decline at any time.

The most painful aspect is the divergence between volume and price. The candlestick that surged higher was accompanied by a spike in volume, but volume immediately decreased afterward. The daily trading volume has been halved, indicating that follow-up funds are retreating.

Currently, the price is still above the 4-hour EMA30 and the daily moving averages, but the key support is at 0.03. Once this level is broken, the probability of accelerated decline will be high. Many are still chasing the dream of new highs, but the room for this wave may already be limited. When a correction occurs, it could actually be a better entry point—provided that true support is confirmed.

BTC-0.39%

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pumpamentalist

· 4h ago

The divergence between price and volume is really incredible. After a surge in volume, it immediately shrinks, and funds are fleeing. Some people are still chasing, but I see it as a gamble.

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DegenDreamer

· 4h ago

Oh no, it's the same pattern again. I've seen many high-position doji stars, but in the end, they just push for new highs again. The volume-price divergence is indeed a bit strange, but I think this time might be different. After all, the main force isn't that easy to give up. Let's wait until it breaks below 0.03 before talking. Currently, only the brave are chasing the highs. Is this really a pullback this time? It feels like it can go higher.

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HashBrownies

· 4h ago

Another wave of chasing highs and getting crushed, happening every day --- The divergence between volume and price is really painful; it looks like we should be cautious --- Waiting for a pullback is the smart move; rushing in now is a bit brave --- RSI is already at 77, and some still dare to buy in; really brave --- Breaking 0.03 is a hurdle; we'll see --- Every time there's a reversal signal, it reverses again and again; it’s really tiring --- Decreasing volume often signals the beginning; big players have already started to run --- I didn't expect people to chase after such obvious long upper shadows --- Let's see if support holds; rushing in now makes you the bag-holder --- The withdrawal of trend-following funds has been obvious for a while; some people just insist on pushing through

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LiquidationWatcher

· 5h ago

Ha, it's the same old technical analysis routine again. I believe in the divergence between volume and price, but when it really drops, no one dares to buy the dip. Is this really going to fall again, or will it just fluctuate? Anyway, I'll wait until the 0.03 break. The group of people chasing the high should be panicking now, haha.

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