Seeing that a major gold ETF added 10.87 tons yesterday, which is indeed a significant scale. The key question is, how many times has such a single-day increase exceeding 10 tons occurred in 2025? And how did gold prices perform after these increases? Let’s analyze the data together.

According to statistics, there have been a total of 6 instances in 2025 where this largest gold ETF added more than 10 tons in a single day. Among them, twice the addition exceeded 20 tons, which is quite substantial. Next, let’s look at the performance of gold prices 1 to 3 days after each of these increases.

**January 17**: The addition was 10.34 tons. On that day, gold prices rose by 0.5%, directly surpassing $2710. Subsequently, there was a slight rally, and by the third day, the price began to consolidate with oscillations. Overall, the trend was steadily upward.

**February 21**: This time, the largest increase of the year—20.66 tons. Interestingly, gold prices slightly retreated by 0.3% on that day, but the next day, they surged over 2%, and on the third day, they broke through previous highs. This move definitely acted as a catalyst for gold price increases.

**March 21**: Another large move with an addition of 20.08 tons. On that day, gold prices fell initially and then rose, closing down slightly by 0.7%. However, the next day, prices rebounded by 1.2%, and continued to oscillate higher on the third day, signaling a clear pattern of accumulation at lower levels.

**October 16**: Added 12.59 tons, with gold prices rising by 1.1%. After reaching a high, prices slightly retreated the next day, then rebounded by 0.8% on the third day. The overall volatility was limited, maintaining a relatively strong stance.

**October 17**: This was a consecutive day with over 12 tons added, with an addition of 12.02 tons. On that day, gold prices increased by 0.6%.

**The most critical pattern emerges**: After these 6 large-scale increases, the probability that gold prices rose on the second and third days is as high as 80%. Only a few instances showed minor pullbacks, but they quickly rebounded afterward.

Why does this happen? Simply put, such large-scale additions are not something retail investors can execute; they are driven by institutional funds signaling their confidence. These actions often indicate that the medium-term upward trend is likely to continue.

Yesterday’s addition of 10.87 tons follows the same logic as previous instances, reflecting institutions’ optimism about gold’s future price movement. As long as gold can stay firmly above $4580, the next 1 to 3 days are likely to follow the previous pattern—after some consolidation, a continued upward push toward the $4640 to $4680 range. Let’s wait and see how it develops.