2026-01-18 09:26:52

The fact staring us in the face in 2017 was: the vast majority of ICO projects would eventually go to zero. But the reality is quite harsh—by 2026, those who dare to swing trade and grasp market narratives are still making money.

This is a paradox. Often, our bearish judgment on a project isn't wrong; the data and logic support that conclusion. Where's the problem? It's in the premature pursuit of the "prophet" thrill, which causes us to miss out on the bubble cycles that can last for years.

To put it simply, a project might indeed die in the end. But every stage—from launch, hype, surge, pullback, to death—presents opportunities. Instead of stubbornly holding onto the righteousness of "I knew this was hopeless," it's better to make some swing trading profits first. Predicting death is correct, but you shouldn't abandon the profit windows within a project's lifecycle just because of that "rightness."

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Frontrunner

· 3h ago

Damn, you're talking about me. I knew it was a trash project all along but still refused to accept it until it was completely dead. The money from this wave has really slipped away for nothing.

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RugResistant

· 4h ago

If I had known earlier that I could sell early, I wouldn't care whether it ultimately dies or not. Swing traders are really winning big, much more comfortable than those who think they're smart. It's easy to be bearish, but selling is even harder, to be honest. The sense of justice in the crypto world is worth zero dollars. Wait until the bubble is fully inflated before entering the market to swing, that's the right way.

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GateUser-addcaaf7

· 4h ago

That's a great point. More important than being right or wrong is whether you'll make a profit. If I had known it was an air coin, so what? I could still make gains through trading swings.

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SmartContractDiver

· 4h ago

Speaking logically, but this gameplay really requires quick hands and a dark heart. I've seen too many people end up dead because of the phrase "I knew it all along"... --- Instead of waiting for the prophecy of death to come true, it's better to lock in the floating gains first and secure the profits. --- The key is to distinguish clearly—seeing the right direction and making money are two different things, don’t confuse them. --- People who trade in waves do make more money, but the risks are also higher... I still prefer to be more stable. --- This logic has some problems, constantly cutting the leeks is not a long-term strategy. --- My brother is right, greed ultimately leads to a bad ending. --- So, at the end of the day—it's about seizing that window period; even a one-second delay can make you doubt life. --- The difference between bottom fishing and panic selling is just that one thought... --- I just want to ask, how do you accurately judge that "opportunity" phase? --- It sounds simple, but in practice, who isn’t caught in a trap...

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rug_connoisseur