What should the ideal form of a prediction market look like? I believe these elements are indispensable:



Open market creation rights — Anyone can launch a new prediction market without any barriers. This allows the market to evolve naturally rather than being controlled by a central authority.

Creator's revenue mechanism — Transaction fees generated from trading flow to the market creators, forming positive incentives. With someone creating and someone maintaining, the ecosystem can stay active.

DeFi expansion potential — Data and liquidity from these prediction markets can be leveraged to develop a full suite of financial products such as lending and derivatives. Prediction data itself is a high-value asset.

Fully automated settlement — Results are fetched automatically via on-chain oracles, and settlements are executed automatically, making the entire process transparent and requiring no manual intervention. This is the key to true trustlessness.

The core is: complete autonomy, zero permission barriers. Let the market, incentives, and mechanisms speak for themselves.
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GweiWatchervip
· 1h ago
That's correct, the key is to fully decentralize power and prevent certain large players from monopolizing the rules of the game.
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OnchainHolmesvip
· 3h ago
Sounds good, but can the open creation rights really prevent spam markets and scams? It feels like it could be exploited.
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MemecoinTradervip
· 3h ago
ngl the permissionless creation angle is where the real alpha lives... everyone else is still sleeping on the sentiment arbitrage potential here 👀
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ForkTroopervip
· 3h ago
This logic sounds good, but the most difficult part is still the oracle... How to ensure the authenticity of on-chain data?
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DeFi_Dad_Jokesvip
· 4h ago
Sounds good, but in reality, there are still a bunch of issues with oracle manipulation, and I really can't trust automated settlement.
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TrustlessMaximalistvip
· 4h ago
That's right, decentralization is the way to go. Those centralized prediction markets haven't understood the essence of Web3 at all, still relying on manual result verification. Isn't that just traditional finance in disguise?
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MemeCoinSavantvip
· 4h ago
nah this is just game theory optimal wrapped in blockchain theater tbh... "zero permission" sounds based until someone creates markets about which stablecoin rugpulls first lmao
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BearMarketMonkvip
· 4h ago
Zero barrier listening is enjoyable, but who will maintain data quality in real operations?
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