2026-01-18 10:31:23

How long has Ethereum been stuck at the $3300 level? The daily closing amplitude is only 0.4%, and the 1-hour chart suddenly shows a doji star — this is a signal that the market is gathering strength. Both bulls and bears are already in a tense standoff, and a breakout feels imminent.

Why is this rally so strong? There are actually three solid supports behind it. The most aggressive move by institutions — staking 590,000 ETH in one go, with the staking queue reaching a historic high of 900,000 to 1,000,000 ETH. This indicates that big funds are genuinely optimistic, not just talk on paper. Looking at RWA, the on-chain tokenized asset TVL has surpassed $12.5 billion, with Ethereum accounting for 65.5% of it. After Fusaka's upgrade, Layer 2 fees have dropped significantly, making the story of the global settlement layer clearer and clearer.

What does technical analysis say? The area between $3293 and $3296, where the moving averages are dense, forms a strong support. The upper Bollinger Band at $3303 is a key short-term breakout level. Once volume supports and the price stabilizes at this point, the target could be the previous high of $3800, or even the range of $4200 to $4500. Institutional optimism is quite strong — insiders at the White House predict $5413, and Standard Chartered Bank is even more bullish, directly seeing $40,000. The structural rally driven by institutions in 2026 is already starting to take shape.

The current rhythm is like this: if you hold spot holdings, hold firmly; for those still watching, consider deploying gradually within the $3280 to $3310 range, with a stop below $3250. Short-term traders should watch closely for a breakout above $3304; once it happens, add with light positions and avoid stubborn holding. If the price pulls back to the support zone of $3000 to $3100, that might be the last chance to buy in during the first half of the year.

The market is quiet now, but a storm seems imminent. Do you think ETH will break directly above $3310 or retreat first to $3280? Share your thoughts in the comments.

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StakoorNeverSleeps

· 2h ago

Institutions are really going all out this time, locking in 590,000 tokens directly and not letting go. This is a bet on 2026. --- Breaking 3304 is a big deal, but I care more about the growth rate of RWA. The 65.5% share is a bit outrageous. --- Honestly, holding spot assets should be a big sleep, reckless operations will only lead to losses. --- White House 5413, Standard Chartered 40,000, hearing this got me a bit excited haha. Let’s see if 3310 can hold steady first. --- After the appearance of the doji star, this kind of nervousness is the most annoying—want to chase but afraid of being crushed. --- After Layer2 fees decreased, the Ethereum ecosystem has really come alive. In the long run, the fundamentals are undeniable. --- If the 3250 support level doesn’t break, I’ll keep adding. Anyway, 2026 is still early. --- Splitting the buy into 3280-3310 is a strategy I learned; it’s much more rational than going all in at once. --- The calm before the storm. I feel there will be big moves in the next few days. Looking forward to it. --- The current market is just waiting for signals. Whoever moves first wins.

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OnlyUpOnly

· 2h ago

Breaking 3310 is impossible; the real opportunity is when it pulls back to 3000. This move by institutions is just for accumulation.

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TerraNeverForget

· 3h ago

Institutions are pouring so much money in, which shows there's real potential. If the 3310 level breaks, it will head straight to 4K.

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MoonBoi42

· 3h ago

Institutions' moves are really outrageous, locking up 590,000 tokens directly. Being optimistic is one thing, but it's basically gambling haha. --- If 3304 can't be broken, it feels like we're going back to 3000. This wave is a bit unpredictable. --- That 65% share of RWA looks impressive, but who knows what the actual trading volume is like. --- I don't trust any of the numbers given by the White House, and Standard Chartered is even more outrageous. --- Just hold steady with the bottom position, don't listen to those short-term sweet talkers. --- I've heard too many of these doji star patterns, but they still end up as failed completions. --- Can 3250 really serve as a defense line? I'm afraid it might break straight through. --- Friends who are staying quiet might not have looked at the trading volume; my side is showing signals of a flash crash everywhere. --- The reduction in layer2 transaction fees has been hyped in the industry for a while, and the novelty is gone.

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