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The biggest pitfall in contract trading is one word: holding.
Currently, the market is heavily driven by emotions, with K-line charts frequently defying conventional logic. Behind this is actually a tug-of-war over funds. In the short term, the rate cut window is getting closer. Historically, the pattern is usually "hot speculation before implementation, then a sharp drop when the policy is enacted." Following this pattern, $BTC is likely to retest the 80,000 level in the near future.
Why is holding on so deadly? Because when the market turns, it doesn't give you time to react. **Following the trend and adjusting quickly is the secret to lasting longer.** The previous high-position short-term strategy has also received clear market feedback.
At this position, the probability of a large-scale upward attack is actually low; instead, be cautious of a structural deep correction.
From a technical perspective:
- The 98,000 level is a solid resistance, making short-term breakthroughs difficult
- If 94,300 is broken, it will likely head straight to 91,800
- Around 96,000/96,800 is a good place to observe high-level pressure
- 97,800 can be seen as a structural support point, with a defensive line at around 98,300
- The initial target is 92,000; if it breaks effectively, it points further to 89,000
At this stage, the most important thing isn't bravery but whether you can prioritize safely parking your funds. Plan your rhythm well, control risks, and then just wait for the market to speak.