ALeafKnowsAutumnII
Trading strategy for November 24th
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII
With ten years of practical experience in the crypto world, we accurately grasp both bullish and bearish trends. We adhere to the principle of "lock in profits" and guide new and old fans with a clear mindset and heart, growing together and reaching new heights.
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RemembrancePoint:
Hold on tight, we are about to To da moon 🛫:View More
November 24 Daily Report
1. The US stock market is the core barometer: tonight's opening is crucial! The Asian and European sessions are unlikely to create major waves; the market will largely depend on the actions of the Americans after the weekend. Moreover, this Thursday is Thanksgiving, and the market will be closed, with only half a day of trading on Friday. If we can stabilize during these first three days, the market will be able to catch its breath next week. December will be more complex due to fund settlements and numerous data.
2. Whether ETF funds can continue to enter is key
View Original1. The US stock market is the core barometer: tonight's opening is crucial! The Asian and European sessions are unlikely to create major waves; the market will largely depend on the actions of the Americans after the weekend. Moreover, this Thursday is Thanksgiving, and the market will be closed, with only half a day of trading on Friday. If we can stabilize during these first three days, the market will be able to catch its breath next week. December will be more complex due to fund settlements and numerous data.
2. Whether ETF funds can continue to enter is key
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ClearWindAndBrightMo
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Hold on tight, we are about to To da moon 🛫:View More
November 23 Daily Report
1. Market Situation
In the past two days, A-shares, US stocks, Bitcoin, bonds, and gold have all dropped! Those holding positions are probably having a tough time.
2. Key Reminders
1. Don’t panic sell! If you run away in fear now, you’re definitely being the “chopped leek”;
2. Making money depends on knowledge, but whether you actually keep the gains depends entirely on patience—especially when you’re stuck holding, staying calm and waiting for a rebound is crucial;
3. If you haven’t used leverage and truly believe in the assets you hold, just hold on with peace of min
View Original1. Market Situation
In the past two days, A-shares, US stocks, Bitcoin, bonds, and gold have all dropped! Those holding positions are probably having a tough time.
2. Key Reminders
1. Don’t panic sell! If you run away in fear now, you’re definitely being the “chopped leek”;
2. Making money depends on knowledge, but whether you actually keep the gains depends entirely on patience—especially when you’re stuck holding, staying calm and waiting for a rebound is crucial;
3. If you haven’t used leverage and truly believe in the assets you hold, just hold on with peace of min
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NianAn_an
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坚定HODL💎:View More
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November 16
1. Core Observations of Weekend Market Trends
1. Short-term stabilization but weak rebound: The market achieved short-term stabilization over the weekend. Considering the low liquidity in the market during the weekend, it is already rare to maintain a consolidation phase; however, the strength of the rebound is weak, failing to effectively break through key resistance levels, and the bullish momentum is insufficient, raising doubts about sustainability.
2. External Influences and Subsequent Tests: This preliminary sell-off is directly related to the decline in the US stock mark
View Original1. Core Observations of Weekend Market Trends
1. Short-term stabilization but weak rebound: The market achieved short-term stabilization over the weekend. Considering the low liquidity in the market during the weekend, it is already rare to maintain a consolidation phase; however, the strength of the rebound is weak, failing to effectively break through key resistance levels, and the bullish momentum is insufficient, raising doubts about sustainability.
2. External Influences and Subsequent Tests: This preliminary sell-off is directly related to the decline in the US stock mark
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RemembrancePoint:
Steadfast HODL💎:View More
Don't let market panic cloud your judgment: the future market direction depends on these 5 core assessments!
1. The current essence of panic: the collapse of interest rate cut expectations + capital outflow in a data vacuum.
1. The Federal Reserve has clearly stated that it is difficult to cut interest rates in December, and the market's probability of an interest rate cut has fallen to 44.4%. Coupled with the continuous decline since October, institutions are selling coins to buy back, and panic has spread to core players.
2. Key data delay (September non-farm payrolls will be rel
1. The current essence of panic: the collapse of interest rate cut expectations + capital outflow in a data vacuum.
1. The Federal Reserve has clearly stated that it is difficult to cut interest rates in December, and the market's probability of an interest rate cut has fallen to 44.4%. Coupled with the continuous decline since October, institutions are selling coins to buy back, and panic has spread to core players.
2. Key data delay (September non-farm payrolls will be rel
ETH4.73%
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川普我孙子:
Just go for it 💪:Alts market shows independent strength: analysis of funding logic and trends
Recently, the trends of alts and Bitcoin have shown a clear divergence. This is not an abnormal fluctuation in the market, but a direct manifestation of the logic switch in large capital allocation—funding focus has shifted from Bitcoin itself to the layout of high-potential assets against a backdrop of liquidity easing, with alts becoming the new target for incremental funds.
1. Liquidity easing + concentrated positive news, altcoin market starts
The U.S. government shutdown has ended, eliminating the largest u
View OriginalRecently, the trends of alts and Bitcoin have shown a clear divergence. This is not an abnormal fluctuation in the market, but a direct manifestation of the logic switch in large capital allocation—funding focus has shifted from Bitcoin itself to the layout of high-potential assets against a backdrop of liquidity easing, with alts becoming the new target for incremental funds.
1. Liquidity easing + concentrated positive news, altcoin market starts
The U.S. government shutdown has ended, eliminating the largest u
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII:
I can't upload the picture 😂:View More
September 1 Market Daily Report
1. Core Dynamics
- Expectations for interest rate cuts have risen in September, as rate cuts last year drove Bitcoin to rise for three consecutive months; currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum are reaching new highs supported by ETFs and institutional reserves, while most altcoins are at low levels. However, altcoin ETFs may be approved in concentrated batches in the next two months, and the breakout period is approaching.
- Tonight, wlfi spot will be listed on top exchanges, attracting attention equivalent to CPI and non-farm data, serving as an important bridge
View Original1. Core Dynamics
- Expectations for interest rate cuts have risen in September, as rate cuts last year drove Bitcoin to rise for three consecutive months; currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum are reaching new highs supported by ETFs and institutional reserves, while most altcoins are at low levels. However, altcoin ETFs may be approved in concentrated batches in the next two months, and the breakout period is approaching.
- Tonight, wlfi spot will be listed on top exchanges, attracting attention equivalent to CPI and non-farm data, serving as an important bridge
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TheIllustriousLiBai:
The most I die here is from ancient Whales, they are just like fools.:August 28 Market Daily Report
Core Turnover Dynamics
- Staking market sets a record: over 1 million coins (450 million USD) exited staking, with nearly 750,000 waiting to enter, both hitting all-time highs. The intense long and short battles among institutions have become the main reason for the recent high volatility.
- Turnover characteristics: A withdrawal of 1 million tokens will create continuous selling pressure, while the funds queued to enter (such as institutional investors like Ethereum MicroStrategy) are optimistic in the long term, with an average staking cost exceeding $4000.
View OriginalCore Turnover Dynamics
- Staking market sets a record: over 1 million coins (450 million USD) exited staking, with nearly 750,000 waiting to enter, both hitting all-time highs. The intense long and short battles among institutions have become the main reason for the recent high volatility.
- Turnover characteristics: A withdrawal of 1 million tokens will create continuous selling pressure, while the funds queued to enter (such as institutional investors like Ethereum MicroStrategy) are optimistic in the long term, with an average staking cost exceeding $4000.
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII:
August 28 Market Daily Report :Core Trading Dynamics
- Staking market sets record: Over 1 million coins (450 million USD) exited staking, with nearly 750,000 waiting to enter, both are historical highs. Institutional Bull vs Bear Battle has intensified, becoming the main cause of recent high fluctuations.
- Trading characteristics: The exit of 1 million coins will create sustained selling pressure, while the funds waiting to enter (such as Ethereum MicroStrategy and other institutions) are optimistic in the long term, with an average staking cost exceeding 4000 USD.
Price and Fund Trends
- Price performance: After a pullback to 4466 in the morning, it rebounded, peaking at 4632 in the afternoon, currently hovering around 4600. The daily chart long positions trend remains unchanged, in a converging market.
- Capital diversion: ETH dropped by 13%, while SOL and BNB performed stronger (SOL reached 210 USD), with initial signs of funds flowing from ETH to mainstream altcoins.
Operational Tips
- Strategy suggestion: In the short term, maintain a sideways trading strategy, mainly focusing on buying low, pay attention to support level layout, and do not blindly chase the price.
- Investment principle: Long-term holders can keep their positions, choose targets based on personal understanding, and avoid blind operations due to anxiety from fluctuations.
Analysis summary of the current bull run alt season
1. Current Market Stage Assessment
The current market is in the second round phase, with Bitcoin taking the lead, and from June, the focus shifts to Ethereum. According to past patterns, in the third phase, large-cap valuable altcoins will show signs of activity, and only in the final phase will nameless altcoins surge (the prelude to a bubble collapse). Currently, we have not yet entered the third phase of a general rise in altcoins.
2. Alt Season Logic and Opportunities
(1) Capital migration path
ETH's market share is increasing,
View Original1. Current Market Stage Assessment
The current market is in the second round phase, with Bitcoin taking the lead, and from June, the focus shifts to Ethereum. According to past patterns, in the third phase, large-cap valuable altcoins will show signs of activity, and only in the final phase will nameless altcoins surge (the prelude to a bubble collapse). Currently, we have not yet entered the third phase of a general rise in altcoins.
2. Alt Season Logic and Opportunities
(1) Capital migration path
ETH's market share is increasing,
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August 23 Market Daily Report
1. Ethereum: Refreshing Historical Highs
(1) Price Performance
- Yesterday it fluctuated in the $4200 range, today it rose to a maximum of $4887, setting a new historical high.
- Market capitalization of approximately 500 billion USD, with a rise of 20% in just a few hours.
(2) Driving Factors
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released dovish signals in his speech at Jackson Hole, with the market expecting a more than 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next month, becoming a direct driver of the price surge.
(3) Market Analysis
- The characte
View Original1. Ethereum: Refreshing Historical Highs
(1) Price Performance
- Yesterday it fluctuated in the $4200 range, today it rose to a maximum of $4887, setting a new historical high.
- Market capitalization of approximately 500 billion USD, with a rise of 20% in just a few hours.
(2) Driving Factors
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released dovish signals in his speech at Jackson Hole, with the market expecting a more than 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next month, becoming a direct driver of the price surge.
(3) Market Analysis
- The characte
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JNeedsToStaySteady
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Has the streamer withdrawn from the internet? Why are there no strategies?:View More
August 22 Market Daily Report
Core theme: Jackson Hole annual meeting sets the tone for September interest rate cut expectations, tonight marks a key turning point in the market.
1. Core Event: Macro Policy Direction at 10 PM Tonight
- Event: The Jackson Hole annual conference is held, and Powell will speak at 10 o'clock.
- Core content of the speech: Focus on interest rate cuts, policy review, inflation concerns, labor market, and political pressure.
- Key impact: Directly related to the probability of a rate cut in September (over 90% last week, down to 71% this week), which will indir
View OriginalCore theme: Jackson Hole annual meeting sets the tone for September interest rate cut expectations, tonight marks a key turning point in the market.
1. Core Event: Macro Policy Direction at 10 PM Tonight
- Event: The Jackson Hole annual conference is held, and Powell will speak at 10 o'clock.
- Core content of the speech: Focus on interest rate cuts, policy review, inflation concerns, labor market, and political pressure.
- Key impact: Directly related to the probability of a rate cut in September (over 90% last week, down to 71% this week), which will indir
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII:
Operation Suggestions and Market Outlook :1. Short-term operation discipline: Strictly prohibit margin trading around Powell's speech at 10 PM tonight, prioritize holding spot.
2. Market prediction: If Powell clarifies the interest rate cut pace in September, the market is highly likely to rebound; long-term spot players need not worry, institutions and listed companies are still continuously coin hoarding.
3. Layout direction: Follow the "stronger stays strong" logic, focus on varieties with clear logic (such as ETF expectations, institutional reserves) and signals of capital inflow (such as Ethereum, dominating dealer altcoins), and avoid unpopular altcoins without capital attention.
Market Daily Report for August 21
1. Core Events
Kanye's coin YZY: The total market value reached a maximum of 3 billion USD upon launch, currently has 1 billion USD left, and the circulating market value is low, being accused of using fame to raise money. Due to past market experiences, it did not trigger significant fluctuations, indicating that such tokens may experience long-term declines.
2. Market Core
- Ethereum: $4100 support regained, currently stable above $4250, has not yet broken through $4400, in a period of fluctuation.
- Conflicting market signals: Moving averages show a
View Original1. Core Events
Kanye's coin YZY: The total market value reached a maximum of 3 billion USD upon launch, currently has 1 billion USD left, and the circulating market value is low, being accused of using fame to raise money. Due to past market experiences, it did not trigger significant fluctuations, indicating that such tokens may experience long-term declines.
2. Market Core
- Ethereum: $4100 support regained, currently stable above $4250, has not yet broken through $4400, in a period of fluctuation.
- Conflicting market signals: Moving averages show a
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII:
August 21 Market Daily :I. Core Events
Kanye issues coin YZY: The total market capitalization reached a maximum of 3 billion USD, currently remaining at 1 billion USD. The circulating market value is low, and it has been accused of leveraging fame to raise funds. Due to past market experiences, it has not triggered large fluctuations, indicating that such tokens may experience long-term downward movement.
II. Market Core
- Ethereum: The support at 4100 USD has been regained, currently stable above 4250, and has not yet broken through 4400, in a period of consolidation.
- Market signals are contradictory: Moving averages show a bearish arrangement, and prices are under pressure, with an overall weak trend; however, Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen bullish engulfing signals on large K-line, indicating potential for a rebound in the short term.
III. Key Tips
- Follow Powell's speech, as the market may speculate around interest rate cut expectations.
- Bitcoin ETF fund outflows are approaching a reversal critical point, and when Ethereum staking and unstaking trend towards balance, the market may restart.
- Currently in a non-bull tail phase, it is recommended to hold quality coins and avoid frequent swing trading.
August 20 Market Daily Report
Staying Strong During the Pullback - Seizing Opportunities in the Second Half of the Year
1. Core Market Conditions of the Day
- Ethereum has shown significant volatility, briefly falling below $4100 before rebounding. In the short term, it needs to hold above $4100 to meet expectations.
- The hourly level is still in a downtrend, with weak support at 4100 USD and strong support around 3600 USD. If the downtrend continues, 4000 USD may be breached; a rebound must stabilize above 4400 USD to break the retracement trend, with short-term bears in control.
2. Ma
View OriginalStaying Strong During the Pullback - Seizing Opportunities in the Second Half of the Year
1. Core Market Conditions of the Day
- Ethereum has shown significant volatility, briefly falling below $4100 before rebounding. In the short term, it needs to hold above $4100 to meet expectations.
- The hourly level is still in a downtrend, with weak support at 4100 USD and strong support around 3600 USD. If the downtrend continues, 4000 USD may be breached; a rebound must stabilize above 4400 USD to break the retracement trend, with short-term bears in control.
2. Ma
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ALeafKnowsAutumnII:
Short-term risk events: Tonight's Fed monetary minutes and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference may affect the market, so avoid using high leverage during this period.:- Reward
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SandraL
:
Just go for it💪:August 19 Market Daily Report
I. Overview of the Market Trend
- Today, Ethereum continues to oscillate, with high volatility on the hourly chart over the past 24 hours. The support at 4200 points has not been effectively broken, maintaining a range-bound oscillation, consistent with previous assessments.
- Short-term expectation: continue to hover around for about a week, with the possibility of a spike down breaking support, but it will not significantly drop below 4000 points.
- Medium to long-term goal: After oscillating to accumulate positions and dissipating short-term bullish sentime
I. Overview of the Market Trend
- Today, Ethereum continues to oscillate, with high volatility on the hourly chart over the past 24 hours. The support at 4200 points has not been effectively broken, maintaining a range-bound oscillation, consistent with previous assessments.
- Short-term expectation: continue to hover around for about a week, with the possibility of a spike down breaking support, but it will not significantly drop below 4000 points.
- Medium to long-term goal: After oscillating to accumulate positions and dissipating short-term bullish sentime
ETH4.73%
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