
Li's bullish view on Ethereum relies on significant economic and structural changes that he believes the market has not yet fully reflected.
Improve liquidity conditions in the United States
Li expects that 2026 will mark the beginning of a strong liquidity cycle, which has historically been favorable for high-growth assets like Ether.
Supply tightening dynamics
As long-term holders transfer Ether from trading platforms, exchange balances continue to decline. The reduced selling supply has increased upward price pressure.
Institutional accumulation
Large market participants have increased their holdings of Ethereum, indicating their long-term confidence.
Weak business cycle conditions
If traditional markets face difficulties, alternative assets with strong practicality and innovative narratives often see new demand.
| factors | Impact | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Liquidity | Capital inflow into risk assets | 2026 |
| Ethereum supply tightening | Price pressure upward | Immediately |
| Exchange reserves decline | Reduced selling pressure | In progress |
| Institution adoption | Demand acceleration | Increase |
| Macroeconomic weakness | Demand for alternative assets | Current |
The continuously evolving ecosystem of Ethereum strengthens this argument. Its infrastructure supports decentralized finance, NFT markets, stablecoins, and institutional-grade applications. Ongoing upgrades consistently improve scalability and security, making Ethereum the preferred environment for large financial institutions exploring blockchain settlements.
Li's core argument revolves around a transformative concept: the tokenization of real-world assets.
Tokenization allows stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, and other financial instruments to exist in digital form on public blockchains. Its potential impact is profound.
Ethereum's mature smart contract network and developer ecosystem make it a leading candidate for large-scale tokenized asset deployment. Lee believes that even if the proportion of global financial assets migrating to the blockchain reaches 5% to 10%, it will create extraordinary value for Ethereum.
The financial system has begun to take initial measures. Pilot projects for tokenizing government bonds, real estate, and money market instruments indicate that this technology is no longer experimental. Li views this shift as a modern equivalent of the post-Bretton Woods restructuring, a fundamental transformation that could reshape global capital markets.
There are still serious disagreements in the community about whether Ethereum can achieve Li's goals.
| viewpoint | Main Argument | Support Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Skeptic | Extreme valuation surges, regulatory hurdles, competition from other chains. | Historical volatility, policy uncertainty, rapid growth of the Solana ecosystem |
| believer | Tokenization craze, supply scarcity, strong institutional demand | Large-scale Ether purchases, institutional inflow, real tokenization pilot |
| The Doctrine of the Mean | There may be a significant increase, but $62,000 may take longer. | Improve scalability, enterprise partnerships, ecosystem maturity |
Skeptics argue
The value of Ethereum must grow five to six times, which requires significant adoption. They also emphasized regulatory uncertainty and increased competition from faster chains.
Believers Strike Back
Institutional purchases, declining exchange supply, and early tokenization infrastructure provide strong signals that Ethereum's role in the financial markets is rapidly expanding.
Moderate analysts conclude.
Even though the target of $62,000 is challenging, it seems increasingly reasonable to expect significant appreciation within the range of $15,000 to $20,000 as real-world applications expand.
Regardless of whether Ethereum reaches $62,000, Li's prediction emphasizes a key point:
The value of Ethereum is increasingly related to its practicality in the real world, rather than speculation.
The integration of financial infrastructure into the network, combined with institutional adoption and the deployment of tokenized assets, suggests a long-term demand that could substantially reshape the market valuation of Ethereum.
Investors using trading platforms like Gate should pay attention to:
Although Ethereum retains all the inherent volatility risks of cryptocurrency assets, its role in the next generation of financial systems continues to strengthen.











