The impact of the launch of Bitcoin ETF on the price of Bitcoin

1. Market confidence and liquidity increase

The launch of Bitcoin ETF has significantly boosted market confidence and liquidity. For example, on January 10, 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the trading of Bitcoin ETF, and the price of Bitcoin reached a historic high in the following months. This increased liquidity has made the Bitcoin market more stable, reducing price fluctuations.

2. Price prediction and market dynamics

• Short-term impactThe launch of the Bitcoin ETF has significantly propelled the price of Bitcoin in the short term. For example, on January 10, 2024, the price of Bitcoin approached $46,000, and then reached a new high of over $73,000 in March before the Bitcoin halving.
• Long-term impactIn the long run, the launch of Bitcoin ETF may continue to drive the price of Bitcoin higher. Some experts predict that the price of Bitcoin could reach $160,000 or even higher after the ETF is launched.

3. Participation of institutional investors

Institutional investors have bought a large amount of Bitcoin through Bitcoin ETF, increasing the demand in the market. For example, on April 23, 2025, the net inflow of the US spot Bitcoin ETF reached $936 million, the largest single-day increase since January 17, 2024. This large-scale influx of funds has directly driven the price of Bitcoin.

4. Market maturity and acceptance

The launch of Bitcoin ETFs has gradually led Bitcoin to be accepted as a mainstream asset in the traditional financial markets. This increased acceptance has had a positive impact on the price of Bitcoin. For example, in January 2024, the SEC approved 11 Bitcoin spot ETFs, marking the recognition of Bitcoin by the traditional financial system.

5. Macroeconomic Factors

The launch of Bitcoin ETFs has also been influenced by macroeconomic factors. For example, ongoing inflation and depreciation of the US dollar have prompted investors to seek Bitcoin as a hedge, further driving inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.

6. Market Fluctuations and Price Efficiency

Research shows that the introduction of Bitcoin ETF has increased the liquidity of the Bitcoin market in the short term, but has a relatively small impact on market efficiency and volatility. In the long run, the price of Bitcoin will eventually return to a stable state dominated by market mechanisms.

Conclusion

The launch of Bitcoin ETF has significantly boosted the price of Bitcoin, especially in the short term. This impact is mainly reflected in the improvement of market confidence, increased liquidity, and substantial participation of institutional investors. However, in the long run, the price of Bitcoin will ultimately be dominated by market mechanisms, although the continued inflow of ETFs may continue to provide support. Investors should consider these factors comprehensively when evaluating Bitcoin ETF investments to make wiser decisions.