Bitcoin Plunges to Around $85,000 — How Much Lower Could BTC Go?

Why Did Bitcoin Suddenly Plunge to $85,000?

Chart: https://www.gate.com/trade/BTC_USDT

In December 2025, Bitcoin extended its previous weeks’ downtrend, briefly hitting the $85,000 level amid intense selling pressure and a wave of leveraged liquidations. This price marks a drop of more than 30% from its all-time high and broke through multiple critical support levels, sending market sentiment into panic mode almost instantly.

The abruptness of this crash caught many investors off guard. In fact, the decline wasn’t caused by a single factor but by several pressure points converging, triggering a chain-reaction pullback for BTC.

Three Core Drivers Behind Market Panic

1. Global Risk Markets Continue to Cool

Recently, global economic data uncertainty, shifting interest rate expectations, and sharp declines in tech stocks have rapidly eroded risk appetite. As a highly volatile asset, Bitcoin was among the first to face heavy selloffs.

2. Massive Leveraged Long Liquidations

In a downtrend, when prices breach key moving averages, waves of automatic liquidations are triggered. This “liquidity stampede” amplifies the selloff and further deteriorates market conditions.

3. Institutional and ETF Capital Outflows

ETFs have had a major impact on the crypto market this year. Recently, some institutions have continued to reduce their exposure, weakening buy-side demand and draining liquidity. Outflows naturally put additional downward pressure on prices.

In summary, this sharp drop was the result of combined macroeconomic pressures, negative market sentiment, and technical breakdowns.

Technical Patterns: Does BTC Have More Downside Ahead?

Chart analysis shows Bitcoin has broken through several major supports, including:

• Mid-term uptrend line
• 50-day and 100-day moving averages
• High-volume price zones from the past two months

Losing these levels signals a clear short-term trend reversal to the downside.

Potential Support Zone Analysis

Based on historical volume and prior accumulation, key areas where support may emerge include:

• Around $83,800: Recent pivot zone between bulls and bears
• $80,000–$78,000 range: Area of significant prior buying
• $75,000–$72,000 range: Strong mid-term support

If BTC fails to hold above $83,000–$80,000, a slide toward $75,000–$70,000 cannot be ruled out.

Bull vs. Bear Sentiment: Is Selling Pressure Nearing Its End?

Bears Still Hold the Short-Term Edge

Continued capital outflows, weak liquidity, and heightened risk aversion keep the short-term outlook bearish.

But Medium-Term Bulls Are Watching for a Reversal Signal

Some long-term investors view this correction as a “buy-the-dip” opportunity, particularly because:

• The number of long-term holding addresses on-chain continues to increase
• Selling pressure from long-term BTC holders has eased significantly
• Many institutions still consider Bitcoin to be in a bull market structure

This suggests the market is not universally bearish, but rather experiencing a cyclical adjustment.

Market Outlook: Where Could BTC Fall? Where Might It Rebound?

Two Possible Scenarios:

1. Continued Bearishness → BTC Drops Toward the $75,000 Range

If:

• ETF net outflows persist
• Global stock markets keep falling
• Leveraged liquidations expand again

Bitcoin could fall into even lower ranges.

2. Bulls Stabilize → Rebound to $90,000–$100,000

If:

• Market risk appetite recovers
• U.S. stocks stabilize
• Strong buying emerges for BTC in the $83,000–$80,000 range

Bitcoin could return to $90K or even attempt to break $100K again.

How Should Investors Respond to This Downturn?

• Maintain strict position sizing; avoid blindly adding leverage
• Steer clear of emotional trading
• Monitor for key reversal signals (such as high-volume bullish candles or candlestick reversal patterns)
• If you have a long-term bullish outlook, consider scaling in gradually rather than making lump-sum purchases
• Set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels; avoid trading without a plan

In times of high volatility, rational decision-making is far more important than trying to predict market moves.