According to FinanceFeeds, on May 4, President Trump's announcement of "Project Freedom"—a military operation to guide neutral vessels through the Strait of Hormuz—escalated U.S.-Iran tensions, triggering a classic flight to safety. Iran condemned the move as a ceasefire violation and threatened military retaliation, prompting investors to retreat from risk assets like the Euro and Australian Dollar toward the U.S. Dollar.
The geopolitical crisis is fueling energy-driven inflation. Crude oil prices have turned volatile, with U.S. gasoline prices rising from $2.99 to $4.22 over the past month, a 6.2% increase. This spike is pushing global inflation expectations higher and pressuring bond yields upward. In response, central banks are adopting increasingly hawkish stances: the Federal Reserve is holding rates high, the Reserve Bank of Australia is signaling potential further hikes to 4.35%, and the European Central Bank maintains a tightening bias despite slowing growth.