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RBNZ Expected to Hold OCR at 2.25% on July 8 as Oil Price Collapse Eases Inflation Risks

Commodities Forex

2026-07-06 03:02:50

According to Westpac's report released on July 6, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to hold its official cash rate (OCR) steady at 2.25% at its monetary policy meeting on July 8. Westpac cited a significant decline in international oil prices following recent Middle East ceasefire agreements, which has substantially reduced inflation risks. Dubai crude has fallen approximately $40 per barrel from its May peak. The bank noted that while three monetary policy committee members voted for a rate hike at the May meeting, the economic backdrop has shifted materially over the past six weeks, likely resulting in a unanimous decision to hold rates at the July meeting.

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