XRP's monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 43, marking the fourth time this rare technical level has been reached in 13 years, according to on-chain analytics platform Cryptollica. The previous three occurrences happened in February 2017, March 2020, and June 2022. The latest downturn follows a broader crypto market correction that has pushed XRP down roughly 43.9% year-to-date to $1.22, according to data from CoinCodex. Each prior instance of this RSI level aligned with major cycle reset phases that preceded sharp structural shifts in XRP's trajectory. The scarcity of this signal across XRP's history is drawing attention as traders assess whether the fourth occurrence carries similar significance.
Cryptollica Identifies Fourth Rare RSI Reset in XRP's 13-Year History
Cryptollica notes that this deep reset on the monthly RSI has now occurred only four times since XRP's launch, with each previous instance arriving during periods of heavy repricing before a new trend eventually emerged. The platform states that the scarcity of this signal is what makes it stand out. The three prior readings didn't just mark oversold conditions; they aligned with major cycle reset phases that preceded sharp structural shifts in XRP's trajectory.
Data from CoinCodex shows XRP is currently trading at $1.22, down roughly 43.9% year-to-date. This pullback has erased much of its earlier rally momentum and left sentiment noticeably more defensive.
ChartNerd Highlights Bearish Structure with Failed Rally Attempts at Key EMAs
Market analyst ChartNerd points to a broader structure that continues to lean bearish. Since the five-day 20/50 EMA death cross formed in November 2025, XRP has managed two recovery attempts, both of which were rejected.
The first rally failed at the 50-day EMA around $2.40 in January, forming a lower high before price rolled over toward $1.11. The second stalled at the 20-day EMA near $1.54 in May, reinforcing another lower high and confirming the ongoing downtrend structure.
These repeated rejections show sellers remain in control of the larger trend, with momentum rallies consistently fading at key moving averages, according to ChartNerd. Until XRP can reclaim these levels and break the sequence of lower highs, caution is likely to dominate sentiment.
FAQ
What is XRP's current monthly RSI level and why is it significant?
XRP's monthly RSI has dropped below 43, a level only reached three times previously in 13 years (February 2017, March 2020, June 2022). According to Cryptollica, each prior occurrence aligned with major cycle reset phases before sharp structural shifts in XRP's trajectory.
What technical structure does ChartNerd identify in XRP's recent price action?
ChartNerd identifies a bearish structure following a five-day 20/50 EMA death cross in November 2025. XRP has failed two recovery attempts: the first at the 50-day EMA around $2.40 in January, and the second at the 20-day EMA near $1.54 in May, with price rolling over toward $1.11 after the first rejection.
