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#美国政府停运 lets me share my views on the current trend of $BTC . Although the news of the government reopening has come out, the market reaction has actually been quite muted—BTC is stuck on the bull-bear dividing line, pressing down but not falling, which is rather a signal.
From a technical perspective, the four-hour level has not broken above the range of 106500-107500. I temporarily regard this position as the high point of wave 4, and it is very likely that we will continue to complete wave 5 downward. No matter how much the news stirs things up, we will ultimately return to the technical aspects, as this is a rule.
What should we do next?
I think BTC is likely to form a terminal wedge, and there should be a decent bounce then. But I won't be fixated on trading in one direction; I will operate according to how the market progresses. Trading should be flexible and adaptable. When the time comes to that point, I will update my thoughts again.
Moreover, $ETH , although it is slightly stronger than BTC, the pressure around 3730 has indeed not been broken—this is a fact. The resistance zone of 3585-3730 I mentioned earlier is still valid, so we will stick to this approach. In terms of position management, strictly build positions in batches according to the pyramid model, and immediately stop loss if the market reverses, without hesitation. I have already accumulated some at around 3590 for the bottom position, and will continue to look downward.
**Operation plan organized:**
Short in the range of 106500-107500 for BTC, with strict defensive positions, targeting 101500-92888.
Short in the range of 3585-3730 for 二饼, also with strict defense, targeting 3250-2930.
These are just my personal judgments. Everyone must plan well and not act impulsively!