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#美SEC促进加密创新监管体系 Tonight at 21:30, US retail sales and PPI data will be released, and the crypto market is set to stage a "data betting drama" again. Retail investors are starting to spin stories: weak data → Fed rate cut expectations → coin price to da moon; strong data → dollar rebound → coin price plummet. Sounds like perfect logic? Wake up, what you're betting on is not the data, but your own obsession.
The biggest joke in the crypto world is treating data as a "market remote control." Do you remember last year's CPI explosion? Some people went all in long, and as a result, the coin price plummeted 20% that night; this year, during a favorable non-farm report, a group rushed to short, only to be blown out by the bulls—data has never been a switch for rising or falling, it's bait used by the main players to "harvest the trend-following investors." You think you're playing the macro game? In fact, you're just handing over your head to the operators.
The harsher truth is: 90% of retail investors stare at the data "guessing the direction", but the real money-makers do not guess at all. They only do three things —
Before the data is released, reduce the position to below 30%. Regardless of whether the news is good or bad, first protect the principal and don't let the "expectation gap" wipe out the account.
After the data is released, wait 15 minutes before taking action. When it is first announced, it is all "false breakthroughs"; waiting for the volatility to settle before following the trend is a hundred times more reliable than chasing highs and cutting lows.
Only do "clear signals". Only go long when the coin price stabilizes above the key moving average, and go short when it breaks below the support level. Unclear market? Just ignore it.
Don't get overly excited tonight. The market fluctuates every day, and if your capital is gone, it will really be gone.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Daring to short even after breaking the support level? You must really be tired of living.
Data first, take 30% of your position, I've said this so many times but no one listens.
After blowing up my position once in 2018, I now only believe in trends and moving averages, everything else is just edited pictures.
Here comes another round of "data drama," it’s just frustrating, capital is the most important thing, everyone.
I got Rekt last time, and I'm still dreaming about it.
The key moving averages are indeed useful, but I choose to be selectively blind and not look at them.
Really, losing the principal is a hundred times faster than making money.
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Using 30% of the position at the start is indeed amazing, but how many can actually do it
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Waiting 15 minutes is really tough; I'm exactly the type to chase the price and sell with bearish market
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You're right, retail investors are just stepping stones for the market makers
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If the principal is gone, everything is in vain; this sentence strikes a chord with me
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I was there for the CPI event too, and I'm still not over it
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Those who truly make money definitely have a different way of playing; I have to admit this
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I need to think more about the concept of clear signals.
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Waiting 15 minutes for this move is really great, I got pumped last time for not waiting
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You're absolutely right, the data is just a smokescreen
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Without the principal, nothing else matters, this sentence hits hard
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Ninety percent of retail investors are really just dreaming
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The key moving average must hold above before taking action, this is the right way
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It's harvest time again, retail investors should wake up now
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I need to remember this clear signal strategy
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I always fall for momentum investing, it's so annoying
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I need to learn this idea of keeping the position at 30%
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Waiting for 15 minutes, this trick is amazing, why didn't I think of it
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You're right, retail investors are just here to serve market makers
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Without the principal, all the data is pointless, stay steady tonight
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Truth be told, 90% of people are just fools guessing the market
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Before the data comes out, I’ll just go to sleep to avoid messing things up
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It's the same three things again, but I still can't control my hands.