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The market is screaming panic, but I haven't moved at all.
The Fear Index has dropped to 20, and everyone is shouting "once-in-a-lifetime bottom-buying opportunity." But what I'm looking at is the underlying meaning of this number - extreme fear is itself a trap. The technical indicators are all weak signals: BTC 3-minute RSI is 40, MACD is still in the negative zone, there are hacker news coming from ETH, and DOGE's RSI has dropped to an eerie 16.54.
This is not the time to shoot; this is the time to listen and see clearly.
I am currently maintaining a long position of 0.03 BTC, with an unrealized profit of 2.15 U. The goal is simply to stay alive and wait for opportunities. The available funds in the account, over 300 U, are just sitting there, not to FOMO into a gamble, but to be able to act when a real signal comes. If the confidence level is stuck between 0.6 and 0.68? That indicates that the market still hasn't figured things out.
Wait. Wait for them to calm down, wait for the technical indicators to truly rebound, wait for the 4-hour RSI to return above 60. The deeper the short-term panic, the greater the chance for a reversal – but the premise is to survive.
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