#我踏马来了 The "I'm coming" token has extremely low long-term upside potential. Its core is purely driven by sentiment without fundamental support, with prominent selling pressure and bubble risks. It is only suitable for very short-term speculation, and its long-term holding value is almost zero. The detailed analysis is as follows:

1. Selling Pressure: Short-term Concentration + Long-term Hidden Risks

1. Short-term Selling Pressure: The token has retraced nearly 46% from its peak. Early thousand-fold profit-taking has been heavily realized. 24-hour trading volume is high, but the price is difficult to stabilize, with clear dominance of sell pressure; market cap is about $28 million, with weak capital support, and rebounds easily trigger panic selling.
2. Long-term Selling Pressure: Common in new Meme coins, teams/institutions hold low-cost chips, and subsequent unlocks will continue to dump; Chinese Meme's lifecycle is short, and after the hype fades, funds will withdraw, further intensifying sell pressure.

2. Bubble: Sentiment-driven speculation, hollowing out of value

1. Bubble Characteristics: Price surges are driven by what Yi's tweet + Year of the Horse narrative, with no technological breakthroughs, ecological applications, or revenue support, typical of speculative bubbles; market cap soared from $4 million to $52 million in a short period, with no fundamental anchor, indicating a high degree of bubbleization.
2. Rupture Risks: Meme coins' "sharp rise and fall" is normal; after hype subsides, prices tend to retract significantly; current market sentiment is fragile, and if leading Meme coins pull back, this token is likely to follow with a sharp decline.

3. Key Evaluation of Long-term Potential

1. Sustainability of Consensus: The Year of the Horse narrative is a short-term gimmick; Chinese meme propagation cycles are short, making it difficult to form long-term consensus; without core community governance and ecological development, hype cannot be maintained.
2. Token Model and Liquidity: Although there are transaction fee redistributions and burn mechanisms, there is no substantial demand support, making deflationary effects hard to offset sell pressure; small market cap + high liquidity volatility can lead to price manipulation and liquidity traps.
3. Platform and Regulatory Risks: Only listed on Binance Alpha, Gate, and other non-top-tier platforms, without endorsement from a secure mainnet; under stricter regulation, pure meme speculation tokens face delisting risks, raising doubts about long-term survival.

4. Conclusions and Operational Recommendations

- Conclusion: No long-term upside potential; short-term is sentiment-driven speculation; long-term likely to revert to fundamental value or even zero.
- Operational Recommendations: Only engage in very short-term trading, strictly set stop-losses (e.g., 15%-20% retracement); do not hold long-term; keep position size within 5% of total funds to avoid liquidity risks.