#币安人生 1. Issuer

- Issuer: The token was issued by the BNB Chain Meme coin platform Four.Meme on October 4, 2025, and is not an official Binance project.
- Origin and association: Originated from a social joke by Binance co-founder He Yi, "Enjoy Binance Life," later packaged into a token by Four.Meme. Binance official did not participate in the issuance, only listing it for spot trading later.
- On-chain details: Deployed by an anonymous developer at approximately $35, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens, no reserves, no special fees, and early large holdings concentrated in a few addresses.

2. Probability of sharp decline (current time: January 18)

- Core conclusion: Very high probability of a sharp decline (90%+), a typical emotion-driven Meme coin with no intrinsic value support, prone to large retracements.
- Risk points
- Fragile token structure: The top ten addresses have very low costs, with significant profit-taking, and could sell off at any time.
- Good news already priced in: Binance listing, He Yi-related topics losing popularity, lack of new drivers.
- Technical warning: Short-term rapid increase, common overbought conditions and volume-driven stagnation, strong potential for a correction.
- Sector linkage risk: During market volatility, Meme coins tend to be the first to withdraw funds, which can trigger a stampede.
- Trigger threshold (within 24-48 hours)
- A significant increase in volume breaking below the recent 3-day consolidation range (about $0.12-$0.14) greatly increases the likelihood of accelerated decline.
- If volume decreases while price stagnates and RSI/KDJ turn downward from high levels, it is a clear signal to reduce holdings.
- Market correction or sector sentiment cooling will directly amplify selling pressure.