Deep Tide TechFlow News, March 3rd, Matrixport published a chart today stating, "Bitcoin has historically performed relatively stronger in the fourth quarter, but the previous cycle did not follow this seasonal pattern. This again confirms that seasonal performance cannot be used as a definitive signal. The overall performance in February tends to be relatively strong, but this year, it also did not follow this historical trend.
In contrast, March’s trend is usually more uncertain. Looking at historical performance, March does not have a consistent directional characteristic. The distribution of gains and losses varies widely between years, and the volatility range is significantly larger. This means that relying solely on seasonality makes it difficult to form a high-confidence judgment on March’s trend.
In the absence of clear macro catalysts and when seasonal signals themselves lack consistency, short-term market performance is more likely to be influenced by tactical position adjustments and liquidity changes rather than seasonal factors alone. For this reason, traders should continue to monitor data closely and remain alert to potential trend reversals."
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Matrixport: BTC has historically performed relatively well in February, but this trend has not continued this year.
Deep Tide TechFlow News, March 3rd, Matrixport published a chart today stating, "Bitcoin has historically performed relatively stronger in the fourth quarter, but the previous cycle did not follow this seasonal pattern. This again confirms that seasonal performance cannot be used as a definitive signal. The overall performance in February tends to be relatively strong, but this year, it also did not follow this historical trend.
In contrast, March’s trend is usually more uncertain. Looking at historical performance, March does not have a consistent directional characteristic. The distribution of gains and losses varies widely between years, and the volatility range is significantly larger. This means that relying solely on seasonality makes it difficult to form a high-confidence judgment on March’s trend.
In the absence of clear macro catalysts and when seasonal signals themselves lack consistency, short-term market performance is more likely to be influenced by tactical position adjustments and liquidity changes rather than seasonal factors alone. For this reason, traders should continue to monitor data closely and remain alert to potential trend reversals."