2026-03-19 12:45:06

Is the US stock market entering a "structural late stage"? Here are 6 data points:

1. Mag7 accounts for over 40% of SPY
2. Market capitalization to GDP exceeds 200%
3. VIX has remained below 20 for a long time
4. Retail options volume hits new highs
5. Share buybacks are slowing down
6. Credit spreads are widening

None of these are fatal on their own. But all six together? Holding a full position without hedging = swimming naked

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