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Today is the 637th day of my daily posts, without a single day missed. Each post is carefully prepared, not rushed. #Gate广场AI测评官 If you think I am a serious person, you are welcome to follow me, and I hope the daily content can help you. The world is vast and I am small, so follow me to avoid losing track.
2026 Sixth Major Contrarian Prediction: I forecast 2-3 rate cuts this year! Go place your bets on Polymarket right now—this is an opportunity for ordinary people to turn things around!
1. The Federal Reserve just released the dot plot, showing expectations of only one 25 basis point rate cut! The market reacted very quickly, with the probabilities of 50 and 75 basis point cuts on Polymarket plummeting! This is an excellent opportunity for ordinary people to pick up chips against the trend. The current odds for betting on 2-3 rate cuts are 1:4 and 1:8 respectively.
2. The reason I believe there will be 2-3 rate cuts this year is because the fundamentals of this matter have not changed. If there is only one rate cut, Trump would not have appointed Powell. The core of this issue is the relationship and connection between Trump and Powell.
3. "Hawkish chairman," "war raging"—these are just surface appearances. These labels, leveraging the current bearish signals from the dot plot, present the best opportunity to bottom-fish and bet on 2-3 rate cuts. Once he actually takes office, everyone will see what he truly does.
4. To endure what others cannot endure, to do what others cannot—this is what makes a superior investor. The money that ordinary people truly earn is never made by simply following the market, but by capturing the portion of returns that exceed market expectations. If you always follow the market, you will only—always be one step behind.
"Allegory/Fable: In 26 years, how much will the big cake (Bitcoin) go to?"
or
"By year 26, how much will Bitcoin drop to?"
The exact meaning depends on context, as "寓言" (fable/allegory) seems unusual here, and "一下" could mean "suddenly" or "what if." Could you provide more context for a more accurate translation?