Market Analysis:

The current market is experiencing severe volatility following the escalation of the US-Iran "Rashomon" event. Trump's remarks about "negotiation progress" triggered a sharp global market reversal, while Iran's categorical denial has pushed the market into a new round of speculation.

Macro News:

1. Yesterday, Trump claimed that the US and Iran had engaged in "very good and productive dialogue" over the past two days and expressed strong willingness to reach an agreement with Iran, potentially within 5 days or even sooner. Subsequently, Iran firmly denied any dialogue with the US, calling Trump's remarks "psychological warfare" aimed at manipulating financial and oil markets. This is a classic "Rashomon" scenario, with the US releasing conciliatory signals while Iran categorically denies them. The market initially chose to believe Trump but partially retreated after Iran's denial;

2. Although Trump's remarks triggered a brief gold rebound, gold prices recorded 9 consecutive days of decline, marking the longest losing streak since 2023. Core reasons include: "rate cut expectations completely zeroed out," "surging oil prices pushing up inflation," "US dollar index showing cyclical strength," and "massive outflows from gold ETFs";

3. Following Trump's remarks, BTC surged from $67,371 to $71,500 within 5 minutes, then retreated to around $70,700 following Iran's denial. In the past 24 hours, over 200,000 traders globally were forcibly liquidated, with total liquidation exceeding $800 million—the market volatility is extremely severe;

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Special Reminder: Geopolitical events carry enormous uncertainty. Any new statement from either the US or Iran will trigger massive market swings. Strictly control position size and implement adequate stop-losses. #Gate13周年全球庆典 #黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 $BTC $ETH $BTC