Trump has clarified the timing of his visit to China, which differs somewhat from what many speculated. While checking hotel bookings is a good method to predict, Trump unfortunately doesn't play by the usual rules.

Additionally, another key point can be gleaned from Trump's message: whether the Middle East situation can be stabilized is a critical factor for a successful visit to China.

Whether Trump can visit China is tied to his midterm election victory rate, so the necessity of the visit doesn't need elaboration. Trump himself has made it clear that the prerequisite for visiting China is stabilizing the Middle East situation, which means Trump must resolve the Middle East crisis by May 14.

Therefore, Trump has reasons he cannot avoid engaging in ceasefire negotiations. Previously, many observed that the Middle East conflict might last a very long time and become a prolonged war. If that were the case, Trump would essentially fail the midterm elections. Once the midterms fail, with such massive anti-war sentiment within America, losing control of Congress would likely result in Trump being impeached immediately. At that point, whether to withdraw or not wouldn't be his decision to make, and it would be done in the most "humiliating" manner possible.

If you were Trump, what would you choose? Is prolonged confrontation with Iran more important, or the midterm elections?