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The weekends are not a "quiet time" for crypto. Often, it is here that the movement is formed, which the market processes already on Monday.
Here are the key events and factors I am closely monitoring right now:
🔥 1. BTC Options — Post-Expiration Effect This week, the market is digesting a massive expiration of BTC options (tens of billions of dollars). After such events, sharp volatility often follows — market makers are no longer holding back the price. (Investors)
👉 Conclusion: possible strong moves without obvious reasons — this is the "clean" market after hedging.
📊 2. BTC in Accumulation Phase (range) Bitcoin has been holding in a range for about 50 days — a classic accumulation phase. $66K The Economic Times(
👉 This means: either a strong breakout is being prepared or another fake move before an impulse. Range trading now — the base.
🌍 3. Geopolitics = Volatility Trigger The situation in the Middle East is again rocking the markets: news → risk-off → crypto drops de-escalation → quick rebound )Barron's(👉 Weekends are especially dangerous: news comes out, liquidity is lower → movements are sharper.
💸 4. Macro Factor Pressures the Market A strong dollar, rising yields, and inflation fears are putting pressure on all risk assets, including crypto. )MarketPulse(👉 Simply put: if macro is "red" — altcoins suffer first.
⚠️ 5. The market is still fragile; liquidations of hundreds of millions of dollars; altcoins are weaker than BTC; many "fake" moves.
👉 This is not a trending market — it’s a trap market.
🎯 My plan for the weekend: work only from levels )range > breakout( avoid FOMO on news, keep cash for sharp moves, watch BTC as the main trigger.
📌 Conclusion: Currently, the market is a mixture of accumulation + news noise + post-option volatility.
Ideal conditions are not for "guessing," but for discipline.
What are you tracking this weekend? News or pure technical analysis? 👇 )