#BTC能否守住6.5万美元？ Straight talk: Bitcoin has now stabilized above $67,900. The rebound from $65,000 in the short term is indeed quite strong, but whether $65K can hold is not as simple as you think.

Market sentiment has reached extreme fear (Fear Index at 8). At this level, it’s either a bottom where smart money quietly accumulates; or the selling has not yet finished. Right now, we are in between these two scenarios.

The technical picture is also very clear:
- The short-term rally is too sharp, overbought, and could adjust at any time.
- The medium-term trend remains bearish; this rebound looks more like a “bounce,” not a reversal.
- The daily chart shows slight signs of bottoming out (CCI oversold), but MACD is warning of divergence.

But don’t be too pessimistic, because there are four very strong long-term signals:
1. Exchange-held Bitcoin supply has fallen to a 7-year low; everyone is accumulating and unwilling to sell.
2. Institutions are continuously buying aggressively below $75,000; they don’t care about the 15-minute chart.
3. Major investment banks like Morgan Stanley are launching ETFs, opening trillion-dollar capital channels.
4. Bitcoin can now be used as collateral to buy property, indicating real demand entering the traditional financial system.

So, returning to the most concerned question:
$65K is likely to hold in the short term, but not guaranteed. Strong support is at the $61K–$63K range.

Three practical tips for traders:
1. Don’t leverage: now is not the time to show off; the more leverage, the easier it is to get washed out.
2. You can gradually position between $64K–$67K, but don’t go all-in.
3. Keep an eye on two key levels: the timing of Morgan Stanley ETF approval + the breakout of $72,500.

This is not a time for celebration, nor for despair.
It’s a market for patient traders.
Protect your principal, wait for a clear trend—this is more important than anything.

Are you optimistic about the future market? Share your thoughts in the comments. $BTC $ETH $DOGE #骐骥驰骋 Stay tuned!