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Core Tips
Buy near 13, sell at 15-16.
Don’t trade before reaching the target level; don’t enter without signs of a rebound.
This phrase sounds simple, but among a hundred people, fewer than five can actually do it.
Why “near 13”?
It’s not metaphysics. The 13 level is the bottom of the zone with concentrated chips in multiple assets, the last psychological defense line for bulls. If the main force really wants to defend, they will increase volume to support here; if they don’t want to defend, it will break below this level directly, and you won’t lose—because you never entered.
“Don’t trade before reaching the point” means: don’t guess the bottom, wait for the market to give you the bottom.
The biggest mistake beginners make is rushing in at 15, only for the price to fall to 13 and they can’t hold, then they cut losses, watching the price bounce back from 13 to 16.
How to judge “signs of a rebound”?
Not by feeling. Look at three signs:
Volume stops falling—trading volume increases, but the price doesn’t make new lows, indicating support is coming.
Long lower shadow on the candlestick—long lower shadows are footprints of “bottom fishing.”
No longer follow the decline—the overall market is still falling, but it stabilizes, showing strength.
“Don’t enter if there are no signs of a rebound”—even if it’s at 13, if it’s still declining, with low volume, and making new lows, just wait. Better to miss out than to make mistakes.
Position management: adopt a “trading” mindset, not a “gambling” mindset.
What’s the difference between trading and gambling?
Gambling: go all-in on one shot; if you win, enjoy the perks; if you lose, do manual labor.
Trading: use 10%-20% of your total capital at key levels to try small positions; if right, add more; if wrong, cut losses—no impact on the big picture.
Swing traders most fear “missing out on gains.” Seeing the price bounce from 13 to 16, thinking “If I went all-in now, I’d double my money”—that thought is close to losing money.
Prioritize risk management; only then can profits be maximized.
This also works in reverse: chasing profits without considering risk will eventually be pulled back by the market.
Beginner Practical Manual
Step 1: Place orders
Place orders near 13, with position size controlled at 10% of total funds. Don’t execute if not reached; enter once it hits.
Step 2: Confirm
After execution, observe 1-2 candlesticks. If signs of a rebound appear (volume increase, long lower shadow, no follow-through decline), add 5%-10%. If it continues to fall, don’t add, don’t hold, and if it breaks key support, exit immediately.
Step 3: Take profit
Target at 15-16. Once reached, take profits in stages; don’t chase the last bit. Swing trading isn’t about holding from start to finish but about capturing the most certain segment.
My View
This script has played out many times. Why do most people still lose?
Because:
They rush in before reaching the target level.
They buy without signs of a rebound.
They make a little profit and think it’s too small, so they want more, only to see profits evaporate.
They don’t want to exit after losing, turning small losses into bigger ones.
Profitable trading is often boring—placing orders, waiting, confirming, entering, taking profits. No excitement, no heartbeat racing.
Either don’t enter at all or control precisely.
Before entering, you are the hunter; the market is the prey.
After entering, you are the prey; the market is the hunter.
So, only pull the trigger when you are most confident.
Remember three rules for beginners:
Don’t enter before reaching the level.
Don’t enter without signs of a rebound.
Just profit from what you understand is enough.