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Is Trump calling for a ceasefire? The situation between the US and Iran is not that simple at all!
#Trump Sends Signals of a Ceasefire
Honestly, I don’t believe this wave of "ceasefire signals" from Trump at all.
Basically, it’s just a pie-in-the-sky promise to calm the market and soothe emotions, without truly resolving the core conflicts between the US and Iran. Iran outright refuses to recognize it, and the Strait of Hormuz issue is still unresolved. The five-day ceasefire is just a temporary buffer; fighting could resume at any time. Geopolitical risks haven't disappeared, so don’t be fooled by this temporary calm.
Speaking of the market: Powell’s dovish stance + Trump’s call for a ceasefire are double positive signals that have pushed the crypto market up. Bitcoin will definitely rebound, but it’s not a trend reversal. The Federal Reserve remains hawkish, with little room for rate cuts, and the geopolitical positives have already been priced in. If the situation fluctuates again, we could see a quick pullback. In the short term, Bitcoin might hover between $70,000 and $72,000. Don’t blindly chase the highs—be cautious about taking on positions.
This week, I’ve heavily increased my holdings in the crypto sector, while only lightly trading precious metals and crude oil. With the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and rising risk appetite, mainstream coins still have room for recovery. Of course, I’ve also set strict stop-losses to guard against black swan events.