Have you heard of someone on Polymarket?

He registered an account only in January of this year and has made 57 predictions so far.
His win rate is 83%.
He specifically bets on Iran-related events, with predictions exceeding $10k, and a win rate of up to 93%.
On February 28, when the U.S. launched a bombing against Iran—he placed his bet a few hours in advance and won $297k in one go.
Now, he has wagered $800k, betting that the U.S. will launch a ground invasion of Iran next.
CNN interviewed a finance professor and former CFTC advisor:
"He's either incredibly lucky or he's engaging in insider trading."