If we really enter a bear market,

How low could Bitcoin drop in the worst-case scenario?
This is a topic nobody wants to hear, but we have to plan ahead.
Few people think about the worst-case situation‼️
Looking at history:
The previous cycle's high was around 69k
The lowest point was about 15k
It took 366 days from the top to the bottom
The overall decline was approximately 77%
And in past bear markets, the bottom was usually reached within about a year.
Following this pattern:
Suppose this cycle's high is at 126k
Then, in the worst case, around October this year,
The price could drop to about 38k.
Think carefully:
If it really falls to this level,
Can you hold on?
Will you keep holding,
Or re-enter the market,
Or panic and sell?
But realistically:
Given the current environment with significant participation from traditional finance and institutional funds,
A direct drop to 38k is not necessarily going to happen.
At least, based on current signs, there are no obvious indicators.
However, no matter what,
You must have a worst-case scenario in mind,
So that when real volatility hits,
You won't be driven by market emotions.
@TermMaxFi