In response to recent suspected insider trading activities in the financial markets and prediction platforms, the White House Management Office recently sent an internal email, sternly warning against using government confidential information for investments or betting.

The background of this internal warning is that, prior to the announcement of Trump's decisions regarding military actions in Iran and Venezuela, the market experienced multiple well-timed and highly profitable positions. External observers questioned whether some decision-makers may have leaked key intelligence before policy implementation.

A recent controversial market movement occurred on March 23. At that time, Trump claimed on the social media platform Truth Social that talks with Tehran were "productive," and announced a pause in plans to attack Iranian power plants.

However, trading data shows that just 15 minutes before Trump's post, billions of dollars worth of crude oil and stock futures contracts had already been traded. Within two minutes starting at 6:49 a.m. New York time, the market saw intense selling of Brent and WTI contracts equivalent to at least 6 million barrels. In contrast, the average volume during the same period over the previous five trading days was only about 700k barrels. Following the post, international oil prices plummeted sharply, while stock markets surged due to easing risk aversion.

In addition to traditional futures markets, emerging online prediction platforms (such as Polymarket) have also become focal points. Some newly created anonymous accounts have precisely bet on the Iran situation in geopolitical games and have already profited hundreds of thousands of dollars.

This phenomenon has raised high alert among analysts. Currently, some payouts related to Middle East developments have been frozen due to controversy, and users are engaged in heated debates over how to define a "ceasefire." Moreover, earlier this year, before the U.S. forcibly removed Venezuela's strongman Maduro, there were also unusually accurate betting behaviors on prediction platforms.

White House spokesperson Davis Ingle stated in a declaration: "President Trump’s attitude is very clear: he is committed to building a strong and profitable stock market for everyone, but members of Congress and other government officials must be prohibited from using non-public information for personal gain."

According to U.S. laws and government ethics guidelines, federal employees are strictly prohibited from using confidential government intelligence for personal benefit. While there is currently no direct evidence that White House personnel participated in these trades, this email reflects the increasing regulatory pressure faced by the White House.

Ingle also emphasized: "All federal employees are bound by ethical standards. Without evidence, any claims implying government officials' involvement in such activities are baseless and irresponsible reporting."$XAUUSD