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The Truth About Everything Getting More Expensive: A Strait War Is Draining Your Wallet
The Strait of Hormuz is sealed.
25% of the world’s oil, 20% of its natural gas, and nearly half of its fertilizer raw materials are all locked here. If the US and Iran go to war, Khamenei dies—but his son takes over directly, announcing an indefinite blockade of the strait.
You think this is just news? No, it has already become every single number on your bill.
Oil prices surged from $73 to $119, up more than 50%. But oil is the “mother of all things”—the tactical jacket you wear (synthetic fiber up 20%), the plastic bags you use, the food you eat (fertilizer is cut off)—everything follows suit and rises. Tomato prices in India jumped 700%; South Korean supermarkets limit plastic bags; Brazilian farmers may miss the spring planting.
Even harsher is “stagflation”: prices skyrocket, corporate costs soar → layoffs → everyone is afraid to spend → fewer orders → even more severe layoffs. Bangladesh’s textile industry has already shut down due to halted oil supply, leaving millions of workers unemployed.
How will the war end? The US can’t control Iran, and it can’t restrain Israel either. Experts say: the outcome won’t be peace, but a chaotic Middle East—where oil prices keep getting messed with for the long term in the range of “usable but very expensive.”
And for ordinary people like us? Look at it from both sides—
Pros: international capital flows into China, new energy accelerates replacement, and the scope for RMB settlement expands.
Cons: imported inflation is already here; the real test is summer and autumn grain prices and vegetable prices, and foreign trade orders could plummet in the second half of the year.
So the most important thing is only one: keep your job and stabilize your cash flow. In an uncertain era, stable income is your last suit of armor.
Shells fired from thousands of miles away are rewriting our lives, bit by bit. We can’t stop the storm, but we can make the ground beneath our feet solid enough.
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