The true intention behind ETH's sideways movement at high levels: Is it a continuation of the main rally or a trap to lure more buyers? This round of choices will determine the direction!

Current Price: 2327.46

From the overall structure, ETH has completed a very standard three-phase market cycle: bottom reversal → trend rally → high-level consolidation. It is currently in the most critical stage:

👉 High-level oscillation zone = direction selection zone

Next, let’s break down the three major cycles.

  1. Daily chart level: trend not broken, but upward momentum weakening

The daily structure is very clear:

Bottom at 1936 completes a phased bottoming Subsequently, continuous higher lows form an uptrend Highs reach 2416 before pulling back

Currently showing as:

👉 High-level sideways + upward structure maintained

But pay attention to two key points:

Highs have not made new highs Consecutive oscillating candlesticks appear

Indicates:

👉 Bulls are beginning to enter the “chip digestion phase”

Daily conclusion: Trend: Bullish remains State: Consolidation after rally

Key levels:

Support: 2250 / 2200 Resistance: 2400 / 2450 2. Four-hour level: structure oscillates, top pattern not formed but caution needed

The four-hour structure is more meaningful:

High: 2416 forms obvious resistance Pullback stops near 2250 Current rebound but no new high

Forming structure:

👉 High-level box oscillation (2250 - 2400)

This is a typical:

Bullish continuation or Early head formation

The key point is:

👉 Whether it can effectively break through 2400

Four-hour key signals: If volume breaks through 2400 → continuation of main rally If repeated failure to push higher → increased probability of weakening 3. One-hour level: short-term weakening, bears begin to probe

The one-hour structure has already shown detailed changes:

Highs gradually decreasing Rebound strength weakening Multiple attempts to push higher followed by pullbacks

Indicates:

👉 Short-term funds are starting to withdraw

Current rhythm:

👉 Oscillation leaning weak

One-hour key levels: Above: Resistance at 2350 Below: Support at 2280 4. Summary of core logic

Currently ETH is in:

Daily: consolidation within an uptrend Four-hour: range oscillation One-hour: short-term weakness

👉 In essence, one sentence:

The main trend is fine, but the short-term is adjusting

  1. Trading suggestions (core) 1️⃣ Long position strategy (main idea)

Prioritize two scenarios:

① Pullback to buy

Buy low in the 2250-2280 range

Stop-loss:

Below 2200

Target:

2350 → 2400

② Breakout chase

Volume breakout above 2400

Target:

2450 → 2500 2️⃣ Short position strategy (short-term)

Suitable for short-term trading:

Short at resistance in the 2350-2400 range

Stop-loss:

Above 2420

Target:

2280 → 2250 3️⃣ Most important current principle

❌ Avoid frequent operations in the 2300 middle zone ❌ Avoid emotional chasing of rallies

  1. Key risk signals

Must be alert to two signals:

1️⃣ Break below 2250

👉 May enter daily-level correction 👉 Target 2200 or even 2100

2️⃣ Multiple failed attempts to break 2400

👉 Forming a “false breakout structure” 👉 Easily triggers rapid decline

  1. Final conclusion

ETH is not weak now, but:

👉 Waiting for the next direction choice

ETH4.96%
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GateUser-df2e8be3
· 13h ago
Steadfast HODL💎
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