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Breaking! Iranian Revolutionary Guard patrol boats open fire on a tanker, pushing the risk premium in the Strait of Hormuz straight to the max🔥
This isn’t an isolated incident—21% of global crude oil seaborne trade has to go through here. Once the situation escalates, a jump in oil prices will directly boost inflation expectations, which in turn will impact the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut timing. This BTC transmission chain must be watched closely:
1. Short-term panic selling is likely to appear, so be ready in advance for BTC’s 5-10% volatility range.
2. If the conflict escalates, crude oil breaking $100 will reinforce “stagflation trades,” and the liquidation risk for high-leverage altcoins will sharply rise.
3. Looking longer term, Iran’s demand for crypto settlement may actually give BTC additional institutional-level narrative support.
Tonight, focus on the volatility during the US trading session. The key levels have already been warned to the group’s friends in advance—stay in sync with the rhythm and don’t get washed out of the ride.