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Dialogue Kalshi Co-founder: The maturity of prediction markets is moving faster than expected
【Plain Language Summary】 Prediction markets are maturing rapidly. Kalshi’s inaugural research conference brought together executives, scholars, and traders from Wall Street, uncovering a trend:
While sports still make up the largest share, long-tail markets such as entertainment, crypto, and politics are growing faster. Institutions have already come to view Kalshi as a reliable data benchmark and are gradually shifting from “watching the data” to real hedging trades.
With margin trading set to launch, prediction markets are evolving from “seasonal products” in elections and sports into a key financial infrastructure for pricing uncertainty.
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