Window Period Arbitrage Guide: The days before a ceasefire are the most dangerous and most profitable times

What is the most critical variable in the market right now? Time.
Before the ceasefire agreement expires, it is a typical "game theory window period." Everyone is guessing: Will there be fighting? Will there be negotiations?
The rise of Bitcoin essentially reflects capital betting on this answer.
How to view the phase high point? In the short term, it is more likely to be "range-bound oscillation + false breakout." Because both bulls and bears are hesitant to hold heavy positions.
So how to position?
First: Enter and exit in batches, avoid betting on a single direction
Second: Prioritize mainstream assets to reduce black swan risks
Third: Make money from volatility, not by guessing the direction
Simply put, treat yourself as a "trader," not a "prophet."
— In one sentence: The window period is not for all-in bets, but for repeatedly harvesting volatility. #比特币反弹 #