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Good morning everyone
Today was supposed to be the time when the two-week ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran ends—just then, Trump announced an extension of the ceasefire, and then there was continued maritime blockade against Iran. When it’s really time for Iran to submit its proposal and complete the negotiations, it’s still filled with a “Trump-only style”—the same familiar taste and recipe. Ever since Trump took office, this kind of threat, coercion, and pressure to force the other side to yield in order to reach the so-called cooperation has happened again and again, and negotiations are often like this.
The second round of US-Iran negotiations didn’t go smoothly, and then the ceasefire time was extended again. The market also had expectations. Yesterday, I also said that when both sides run into principled problems, neither side will back down—especially since Iran has no trust foundation with the US. Even if the negotiations go forward successfully, it would still be nothing more than a waste of time, because it is impossible to reach a basic consensus in the first place.
Based on the current developments in the US-Iran situation, the outlook isn’t optimistic. Especially during the ceasefire period, both sides have already laid out their military forces. The old US ships were sent over early and can enter battle at any time. So personally, I think the likelihood of another war breaking out between the US and Iran is high. If another war happens, even more Gulf countries and regions may join in, triggering a larger-scale conflict and global economic turmoil.
Right now, the overall market is mostly fluctuating upward, so in the short term it will trade between 74,000 and 78,000. ETH’s current volatility range is relatively narrow; in the short term it will still be between 2280 and 2370. SOL’s short-term fluctuation is 84.5–87.5.
Short-term contract strategy:
BTC: 75,000—buy long on dips, take profit at 77,500
ETH: 2280—buy long on dips, take profit at 2330
SOL: 85—buy long on dips, take profit at 87
Warm reminder:
1. The stop-loss suggestion should be set based on your actual liquidation price and the amount of loss principal you personally can bear.
2. Don’t be greedy—take profits when they’re there and lock them in; it’s better to take a small loss than to hold onto a position. If the direction is right, then continue holding.
$SOL $ETH $BTC